Table 1.

Average posterior summaries over 100 simulated epidemics of 3 co-circulating pathogens with laboratory test results missing for 30% of the ILI episodes. Estimates for the primary pathogen (m=1) are presented. Comparison is made between the scenarios that the number of non-primary pathogens (m=2, 3) is correctly specified as two versus mis-specified as one, and between a small population (100 households of size 5) versus a large population (100 households of size 10 or 200 households of size 5). True parameters generating the epidemics are given in the second column and in the footnote.

		100 households of size 5		100 households of size 10	200 households of size 5
Parameter	True Value	Correctly specified M = 3	Misspecified M = 2	Correctly specified M = 3	Correctly specified M = 3
ω1	0.003	0.0030(0.0023, 0.0039)	0.0030(0.0023, 0.0039)	0.0030(0.0025, 0.0036)	0.0029(0.0024, 0.0035)
γ1	0.030	0.029(0.020, 0.042)	0.029(0.020, 0.042)	0.030(0.025, 0.036)	0.029(0.022, 0.038)
θ1	0.70	0.70(0.50, 0.97)	0.69(0.49, 0.97)	0.69(0.57, 0.82)	0.71(0.56, 0.90)
φ1	0.70	0.74(0.37, 1.41)	0.74(0.37, 1.42)	0.70(0.51, 0.95)	0.72(0.45, 1.12)
a1	6.0	6.39(3.59, 9.47)	6.39(3.57, 9.48)	6.01(4.16, 8.75)	6.40(4.04, 9.36)

True parameters for pathogen 1 : q₁₁ = 0.2, q₁₂ = 0.6.

True parameters for pathogen 2 : ω₂ = 0.003, γ₂ = 0.015, θ₂ = 0.6, φ₂ = 1.0, a₂ = 4.0, q₂₁ = 0.8, q₂₂ = 0.3.

True parameters for pathogen 3 : ω₃ = 0.0015, γ₃ = 0.040, θ₃ = 1.0, φ₃ = 0.6, a₃ = 5.0, q₃₁ = 0.6, q₃₂ = 0.5.