Table 3.
Analysis of the PIPP Study with influenza A and influenza B epidemics in the 2007–2008 winter season. Posterior medians and 95% credible sets are presented.
| Mode Location of RIC
|
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| End of day t̃ik |
End of day t̃ik + 1
|
|||||
| parameter | Non-influenza m = 1 | Influenza A m = 2 | Influenza B m = 3 | Non-influenza m = 1 | Influenza A m = 2 | Influenza B m = 3 |
| ωm(×104) | 3.98(2.76, 5.53) | 1.55(0.93, 2.52) | 0.83(0.47, 1.39) | 4.00(2.82, 5.43) | 1.57(0.98, 2.41) | 0.83(0.47, 1.38) |
| ω3b(×104) | 1.65(0.84, 3.06) | 1.68(0.86, 2.96) | ||||
| ρ | 2.05(1.31, 3.01) | 2.06(1.39, 2.90) | ||||
| γm(×105) | 5.83(0.36, 16.27) | 23.29(7.18, 44.60) | 4.960.21, 18.90) | 5.50(0.27, 15.76) | 23.35(7.57, 46.86) | 4.81(0.17, 18.61) |
| ξm | 0.73(0.55, 0.98) | 0.68(0.40, 1.13) | 1.21(0.68, 2.20) | 0.73(0.55, 0.96) | 0.66(0.39, 1.07) | 1.19(0.70, 2.12) |
| am | 4.24(2.08, 9.61) | 5.46(2.21, 9.70) | 3.70(2.04, 9.49) | 5.90(2.19, 9.78) | ||
| SAR(×104)† | 16.29(5.03, 31.17) | 3.47(0.15, 13.22) | 16.33(5.30, 32.75) | 3.37(0.12, 13.02) | ||
†
SAR=1 − exp(− Δmγm).