Table 6.

Probit regressions for probability of enrollment in 2004, CAPS respondents enrolled in grades 8 or 9 in 2002

	Probits for enrollment		Test of equality of coefficients	Marginal effects at X1
Variable	African	Coloured		African	Coloured
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)
Number of grades failed, Wave 1	−0.138 [0.077]*	−0.390 [0.106]***	3.773 (0.052)*	−0.031 [0.020]	−0.107 [0.039]***
Standardized LNE total score	0.139 [0.088]	0.258 [0.123]**	0.603 (0.437)	0.031 [0.019]*	0.071 [0.032]**
Log hh income per cap.	−0.086 [0.108]	0.335 [0.107]***	7.667 (0.005)***	−0.020 [0.026]	0.092 [0.036]**
Mother’s schooling	0.084 [0.029]***	−0.027 [0.034]	6.468 (0.011)**	0.019 [0.008]**	−0.008 [0.009]
Father’s schooling	−0.017 [0.032]	0.089 [0.037]**	4.784 (0.029)**	−0.004 [0.007]	0.024 [0.011]**
Local unemployment rate for age and sex	1.451 [0.549]***	0.170 [0.408]	3.718 (0.054)*	0.328 [0.184]*	0.047 [0.112]
Failed in 2002	−0.696 [0.161]***	−1.420 [0.221]***	7.038 (0.008)***	−0.212 [0.066]***	−0.517 [0.077]***
Grade 9 in 2002	−0.099 [0.168]	−0.346 [0.162]**	1.142 (0.285)	−0.024 [0.039]	−0.109 [0.048]**
Female	0.045 [0.172]	0.035 [0.155]	0.001 (0.965)	0.010 [0.039]	0.010 [0.043]
Constant	−0.248 [0.524]	0.622 [0.499]	1.540 (0.215)
Predicted probability at X1				0.857	0.806
Observations	441	394

Robust standard errors in brackets in columns 1-2 and 4-5; p-value of F tests in parentheses in column 3

^*significant at 10%

^**significant at 5%

^***significant at 1%. Regression includes dummy variables for missing values on parental schooling and household shock. Marginal effects evaluated for female in grade 8 in 2002, 1 failed grade, LNE=0, log income=0, parental schooling=8, unemployment rate=0.6, passed grade in 2002.