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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2011 Apr 15.
Published in final edited form as: Med Care. 2009 Jun;47(6):610–617. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0b013e31819748d5

TABLE 1.

Prognostic Index of Lee et al. Of the 13 Data Elements That are Required for This Index, as Many as 8 may be Obtained From an Electronic Medical Record System, Leaving as few as 5 Items for Patient Survey

Prognostic Index
Age*
  <60, 0 points; 60–64, 1 point; 65–69, 2 points; 70–74, 3 points; 75–79, 4 points; 80–84, 5 points; ≥85, 7 points
Sex*
  Female, 0 points; male, 2 points
Weight*
Height*
  BMI ≥25, 0 points; BMI <25, 1 point (BMI = 703 X weight in pounds/height in inches)
Has a doctor ever told you that you have diabetes or high blood sugar?*
  No = 0 points; Yes 1 point
Has a doctor told you that you have cancer or a malignant tumor, excluding minor skin cancers?*
  No = 0 points; Yes 2 points
Do you have a chronic lung disease that limits your usual activities or makes you need oxygen at home?*
  No = 0 points, Yes 2 points
Has a doctor told you that you have congestive heart failure?*
  No = 0 points; Yes 2 points
Have you smoked cigarettes in the past week?
  No = 0 points; Yes 2 points
Because of a health or memory problem, do you have any difficulty with bathing or showering?
  No = 0 points; Yes 2 points
Because of a health or memory problem, do you have any difficulty with managing your money-such as paying your bills and keeping track of expenses?
  No = 0 points; Yes 2 points
Because of a health problem do you have any difficulty with walking several blocks?
  No = 0 points; Yes 2 points
Because of a health problem do you have difficulty with pulling or pushing large objects like a living room chair?
  No = 0 points; Yes 1 point
Scoring Algorithm
  Sum all points from questions above
Sum of Points Probability of Death in 4 yr Estimated Life
Expectancy (yr)
0 1% ≥10.0
1 2% ≥10.0
2 2% ≥10.0
3 4% ≥10.0
4 5% ≥10.0
5 7% ≥10.0
6 9% ≥10.0
7 14% ≥10.0
8 20% ≥10.0
9 22% ≥10.0
10 28% ≥10.0
11 44% 6.9
12 46% 6.5
13 57% 4.7
≥14 66% ≤3.7
*

Data element may be obtained from survey at check in and/or electronic medical record system.

Data element may be obtained from survey at check-in.