Table 2.
Estimates of parameters of the demographic model applied to Cross River and western lowland gorillas
| Prior distribution | min | max | Posterior mode | HDI 50b | HDI 90b | HDI 95b | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Nm | Loguniform | 1 | 15.85 | 9.55 | [4.57, 13.8] | [1.58, 15.84] | [1.32, 15.85] |
| Ncrossriver_old/Ncrossriver_now) | Loguniform | 1 | 100 | 61.7 | [33.1, 93.3] | [10, 100] | [4.2, 100] |
| Ncrossriver_now | N(200, 100) a | 68 | 300 | 271 | [223, 292] | [146, 300] | [122, 300] |
| Nancestral | Uniform | 500 | 25,000 | 2,547 | [1,383, 4,032] | [500, 6,681] | [500, 7,684] |
| Nwestern | N(24,000, 5000) a | 10,000 | 30,000 | 22,376 | [18,765, 25,319] | [14,217, 28,930] | [12,879, 29,532] |
| Tdivergence | Loguniform | 10 | 3,162 | 891 | [269, 1,738] | [60.3, 3,090] | [38, 3.162] |
| Tbottleneck | Loguniform | 10 | 316 | 16 | [33.1, 93.3] | [10, 97.7] | [10, 141] |
| Tmigration | Loguniform | 10 | 3,162 | 21 | [11.7, 60.3] | [10, 446.7] | [10, 812] |
Ncrossriver_now, Nancestral, Nwestern represent the effective population sizes of Cross River, ancestral and western lowland gorillas respectively. Timings in generations were estimated on the log10 scale and indicate the divergence (Tdivergence), the onset of the bottleneck (Tbottlneck) and the cessation of migration (Tmigration). The number of diploid individuals exchanged between the populations was also estimated on the log10 scale as 2 Nm. For parameters estimated on the log10 scale we chose uniform priors on the same scale.
a Corresponds to a normal distribution of the form N(μ, σ) truncated at [min, max]
b The high posterior density interval HDI is chosen as the smallest continuous interval spanning 50% of the posterior surface. The other HDI are chosen accordingly.