Table 3.
Top 50 Models From MCMC for the ICU Data. Note that the estimated posterior probabilities π̂(γ|Y) were multiplied by 1,000.
| Model | No. Variables | Est. Posterior | AIC (rank) | BIC (rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,4,5,12,13,19 | 6 | 4.70 | −51.20 (11) | −63.75 (61) |
| 2,3,4,5,12,13,19 | 7 | 4.67 | −51.72 (44) | −65.66 (593) |
| 3,4,5,12,19 | 5 | 3.95 | −52.28 (173) | −63.43 (41) |
| 3,4,5,11,12,13,19 | 7 | 3.87 | −51.12 (8) | −65.06 (312) |
| 2,3,4,5,11,12,13,19 | 8 | 3.15 | −51.74 (45) | −67.07 (2326) |
| 3,4,5,6,12,13,19 | 7 | 2.70 | −51.83 (58) | −65.76 (657) |
| 1,3,4,5,8,11,12,13,16,19 | 10 | 2.55 | −51.64 (33) | −69.76 (16867) |
| 3,4,5,6,11,12,13,15,16,19 | 10 | 2.50 | −51.79 (51) | −69.91 (18400) |
| 1,3,4,5,11,12,13,19 | 8 | 2.45 | −51.28 (12) | −66.61 (1501) |
| 1,3,4,5,12,13,16,19 | 8 | 2.35 | −51.14 (9) | −66.47 (1318) |
| 2,3,4,5,11,12,13,18,19 | 9 | 2.20 | −52.41 (228) | −69.13 (11251) |
| 3,5,12,19 | 4 | 2.15 | −53.44 (1435) | −63.19 (30) |
| 3,4,5,12,13,15,19 | 7 | 2.07 | −51.96 (87) | −65.89 (752) |
| 3,4,5,6,10,12,13,19 | 8 | 2.00 | −52.78 (470) | −68.11 (5364) |
| 3,4,5,8,11,12,13,16,19 | 9 | 2.00 | −52.00 (98) | −68.72 (8428) |
| 3,4,5,12,13,16,19 | 7 | 1.97 | −51.60 (31) | −65.54 (530) |
| 2,3,4,5,6,12,19 | 7 | 1.87 | −53.16 (916) | −67.10 (2382) |
| 3,4,5,8,11,12,19 | 7 | 1.80 | −52.87 (562) | −66.81 (1786) |
| 3,4,5,11,12,13,14,19 | 8 | 1.80 | −51.91 (78) | −67.25 (2696) |
| 5,8,12,15,16,19 | 6 | 1.77 | −53.42 (1399) | −64.57 (174) |
| 3,4,5,11,12,19 | 6 | 1.77 | −52.57 (301) | −65.11 (325) |
| 2,3,4,5,6,8,11,12,13,19 | 10 | 1.75 | −52.99 (701) | −71.10 (36334) |
| 3,4,5,10,11,12,13,19 | 8 | 1.72 | −52.10 (115) | −67.43 (3114) |
| 5,12,19 | 3 | 1.67 | −53.81 (2588) | −60.78 (1) |
| 3,5,10,12,19 | 5 | 1.67 | −54.17 (4250) | −65.32 (413) |
| 1,2,3,4,5,12,13,15,16,19 | 10 | 1.65 | −51.39 (19) | −69.51 (14521) |
| 1,3,4,5,9,11,12,13,16,18,19 | 11 | 1.65 | −52.79 (478) | −72.30 (64620) |
| 3,4,5,12,15,19 | 6 | 1.57 | −52.86 (556) | −65.41 (450) |
| 1,2,3,4,5,12,13,16,19 | 9 | 1.57 | −51.69 (37) | −68.41 (6714) |
| 2,3,4,5,11,12,13,15,16,19 | 10 | 1.57 | −51.38 (17) | −69.50 (14404) |
| 3,4,5,7,8,10,12,13,19 | 9 | 1.55 | −53.56 (1730) | −70.28 (23084) |
| 1,3,4,5,12,13,15,16,19 | 9 | 1.50 | −51.08 (7) | −67.81 (4238) |
| 3,4,5,11,12,13,16,19 | 8 | 1.47 | −51.30 (13) | −66.63 (1526) |
| 3,4,5,8,12,19 | 6 | 1.45 | −52.78 (468) | −65.32 (415) |
| 3,4,5,8,12,13,19 | 7 | 1.42 | −51.96 (89) | −65.90 (761) |
| 3,4,5,11,12,15,19 | 7 | 1.32 | −53.03 (742) | −66.96 (2065) |
| 3,4,5,9,11,12,19 | 7 | 1.30 | −52.97 (679) | −66.90 (1948) |
| 1,3,4,5,11,12,13,15,16,19 | 10 | 1.30 | −50.55 (1) | −68.67 (8098) |
| 2,3,4,5,12,13,18,19 | 8 | 1.27 | −52.51 (265) | −67.84 (4350) |
| 2,3,4,5,12,19 | 6 | 1.25 | −52.86 (549) | −65.40 (446) |
| 5,12,15,19 | 4 | 1.22 | −53.84 (2723) | −62.20 (7) |
| 3,4,5,7,12,13,19 | 7 | 1.22 | −51.70 (40) | −65.63 (579) |
| 1,3,4,5,11,12,13,17,19 | 9 | 1.22 | −52.27 (168) | −68.99 (10156) |
| 3,4,5,9,11,12,13,15,16,19 | 10 | 1.22 | −51.57 (28) | −69.69 (16167) |
| 4,5,12,19 | 4 | 1.20 | −53.02 (727) | −61.38 (2) |
| 3,4,5,7,11,12,13,19 | 8 | 1.20 | −51.66 (35) | −66.99 (2126) |
| 3,4,5,8,11,12,13,16,17,19 | 10 | 1.20 | −52.96 (669) | −71.08 (35795) |
| 1,4,5,12,19 | 5 | 1.17 | −53.11 (837) | −62.87 (14) |
| 3,5,8,12,19 | 5 | 1.17 | −53.47 (1519) | −64.62 (188) |
| 3,4,5,6,9,12,19 | 7 | 1.17 | −52.86 (554) | −66.80 (1776) |