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. 2011 Apr 20;6(4):e18716. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0018716

Table 4. Comparison of post-treatment vivax incidence rate by risk factor.

Risk present Risk absent
P. vivax relapse No P. vivax relapse Incidence rate/1000/30days P. vivax relapse No P. vivax relapse Incidence rate/1000/30days
Risk factor no. days of follow-up no. days of follow-up no. days of follow-up no. days of follow-up Incidence Rate Ratio 95%CI p value
Male gender 50 1378 125 4662 248 9 244 59 2016 119 2.08 1.01, 4.81 0.03
History of malaria in previous 12 mos 32 881 68 2338 298 27 741 115 4298 161 1.86 1.08, 3.22 0.02
Duration of symptoms >3 days 25 728 55 1946 280 34 894 129 4732 181 1.55 0.88, 2.67 0.10
Baseline parasitemia (/µl) <10 K 35 937 93 3248 251 24 685 91 3430 175 1.43 0.83, 2.52 0.17
Baseline parasitemia (/µl) >50 K 3 77 24 952 87 56 1545 160 5726 231 0.38 0.08, 1.16 0.07
Fever (T>37.9°C) 31 804 104 3822 201 28 818 80 2856 229 0.88 0.51, 1.52 0.62
Anemia (Hct<30%) 4 133 10 336 256 55 1489 174 6324 211 1.21 0.32, 3.29 0.67
Baseline platelet count <150 K 14 413 80 3360 111 10 294 18 756 286 0.39 0.16, 0.98 0.03
Abnormal ALT (>40 U/L) 3 70 19 798 104 24 749 88 3696 162 0.64 0.12, 2.11 0.49
Gametocytes on admit 23 609 20 686 533 36 1013 164 5992 154 3.46 1.96, 5.99 <0.001
Gametocytes on admit by PCR* 16 469 13 546 473 11 350 96 4032 75 6.28 2.74, 15.0 <0.001
Gametocytes on day 14 14 364 13 420 536 44 1223 171 6258 176 3.04 1.54, 5.64 0.001
Gametocytes anytime during follow up 39 1071 37 1260 502 20 551 147 5418 101 4.99 2.84, 9.04 <0.001
Parasite clearance time ≥72 hrs 25 707 100 3766 168 34 915 84 2912 267 0.63 0.36, 1.09 0.08
Fever clearance time >24 hrs 14 378 74 2716 136 45 1244 109 3934 261 0.52 0.26, 0.97 0.03
Bioassay positive*,** 2 77 6 252 182 25 742 103 4326 148 1.23 0.14, 4.94 0.72

*Data only available for ARC2 patients (Pv n = 27, no Pv n = 109).

**Antimalarial activity of sera against P. falciparum lab strains in a previously published ex-vivo bioassay, used as a surrogate measure of prior use of antimalarial drugs [15].