Table VI.

Best estimates with 95% CIs (in parentheses) and –loglikelihood values for different model fits: CPS-II data (fit-RIVM8), British doctors’ data (fit-RIVM9), the grouped EPIC data for males and females and the CPS-II data (fit-RIVM10), and the grouped EPIC data for males and the British doctors’ data (fit-RIVM11)

1	2	3	4	5
	CPS-II, fit-RIVM8	British doctors’ data, fit-RIVM9	EPIC males and females and CPS-II, fit-RIVM10	EPIC males and British doctors’ data, fit-RIVM11
Initiation
μ0 (per year)	2.84·10−7 (2.45·10−7–3.28·10−7)	1.07·10−7 (7.96·10−8–1.44·10−7)	2.51·10−7 (2.24·10−7–2.77·10−7)	1.65·10−7 (1.36·10−7–1.86·10−7)
y1 (day per cigarette)	$y_1^{\mathit{EPIC}}=0.17$	$y_1^{\mathit{EPIC}}=0.21$	0.20 (0.16–0.25)	0.15 (0.10–0.30)
y 2	2.89 (1.40–9.40)	9.95·104 (6.10–∞)	4.87 (2.43–20.40)	12.85 (0.89–∞)
Promotion
ε0 (per year)	4.6·10−2 (3.8·10−2–5.4·10−2)	9.8·10−2 (7.3·10−2–0.117)	5.1·10−2 (4.4·10−2–5.7·10−2)	7.2·10−2 (5.7·10−2–9.0·10−2)
ε1 (day per cigarette)	y 1	y 1	y 1	y 1
ε 2	1.19 (0.86–1.76)	0.16 (0–0.48)	0.96 (0.75–1.26)	0.56 (0.25–1.02)
Malignant transformation
m1 (day per cigarette)	y 1	y 1	y 1	y 1
m 2	0.56 (0.39–0.74)	9.76·104 (7.93–∞)	0.70 (0.54–0.88)	6.76 (2.16–∞)
–loglikelihood	82.39	28.73	766.55 (Δcorr = +14.81)	394.54 (Δcorr = +0.50)

Values given in italic were used as fixed input and not estimated by model fits.