Table 5.
The effects of recent returns and volatility of the stock market index and the daily volume of trade of the shares of the DJIA, before and after the crash. HRS 2008.
| Specification [1] |
Specification [2] |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| μ | log(σ) | log[Std(u)] | μ | log(σ) | log[Std(u)] | |
| Constant | −0.085 [0.006]** |
−0.568 [0.041]** |
−8.955 [2.213]** |
−0.084 [0.005]** |
−0.785 [0.089]** |
−8.454 [2.234]** |
|
| ||||||
| Monthly log returns (log of the average of previous 5 days minus the same one month before) |
0.048 [0.081] |
0.335 [0.104]** |
||||
|
| ||||||
| VXD volatility index (average of previous 5 days) |
0.013 [0.151] |
0.977 [0.408]* |
||||
|
| ||||||
| Log of volume of trade (average of previous 5 days) |
0.350 [0.097]** |
0.327 [0.099]** |
||||
|
| ||||||
| Post-crash dummy (October 08 to February 09) |
−0.007 [0.032] |
0.210 [0.256] |
19.295 [6.101]** |
|||
|
| ||||||
| Post-crash dummy interacted with monthly log returns |
−0.721 [0.257]** |
|||||
|
| ||||||
| Post-crash dummy interacted with VXD volatility index |
−0.617 [0.601] |
|||||
|
| ||||||
| Post-crash dummy interacted with log of volume of trade |
−0.839 [0.271]** |
|||||
|
| ||||||
| Other covariates | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Instruments | YES | YES | YES | YES | ||
|
| ||||||
| Log-likelihood | −42301.2 | −42268.1 | ||||
| N | 9347 | 9347 | ||||
Standard errors in brackets.
significant at 5%
significant at 1%