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. 2011 May;6(5):1057–1065. doi: 10.2215/CJN.04320510

Table 2.

Selected cut-off values of LSM and APRI to predict patients with significant hepatic fibrosis (≥F2), advanced hepatic fibrosis (≥F3), and cirrhosis (F4)

Significant Hepatic Fibrosis (≥F2)
LSM (kPa) Patients Tested, n (%)c
Actual Fibrosis, n (%)d
Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) LR + LR − DA (%)
All (n = 284) ≥F2 (n = 101) <F2 (n = 183)
7.1 63 (22) 56 (55) 7 (4) 55 96 89 80 14.50 0.46 82
8.8 30 (11) 30 (30) 0 (0) 30 100 100 72 e 0.70 75
5.3a 116 (41) 94 (93) 22 (12) 93 88 82 96 8.11 0.08 90
APRIb Patients Tested, n (%)
Actual Fibrosis, n (%)
Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) LR + LR − DA (%)
All (n = 289) ≥F2 (n = 103) <F2 (n = 186)
0.50 137 (47) 81 (79) 56 (30) 79 70 60 86 2.66 0.30 73
1.50 3 (1) 3 (3) 0 (0) 3 100 100 65 e 0.97 65
0.55a 109 (38) 76 (74) 33 (18) 74 82 69 85 4.04 0.32 79
Advanced Hepatic Fibrosis (≥F3)
LSM (kPa) Patients Tested, n (%)
Actual Fibrosis, n (%)
Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) LR + LR − DA (%)
All (n = 284) ≥F3 (n = 40) <F3 (n = 244)
9.5 20 (7) 18 (45) 2 (1) 45 99 95 92 109.80 0.55 92
9.6 20 (7) 18 (45) 2 (1) 45 99 95 92 109.80 0.55 92
8.3a 40 (14) 38 (95) 2 (1) 95 99 93 99 77.30 0.10 99
APRIb Patients Tested, n (%)
Actual Fibrosis, n (%)
Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) LR + LR − DA (%)
All (n = 289) ≥F3 (n = 41) <F3 (n = 248)
0.75 63 (22) 38 (93) 25 (10) 93 90 61 99 9.60 0.08 90
1.75 3 (1) 1 (2) 2 (1) 2 99 33 86 3.02 0.98 85
0.75a 63 (22) 38 (93) 25 (10) 93 90 61 99 9.60 0.08 90
Cirrhosis (F4)
LSM (kPa) Patients Tested, n (%)
Actual Fibrosis, n (%)
Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) LR + LR − DA (%)
All (n = 284) =F4 (n = 14) <F4 (n = 270)
12.5 5 (2) 5 (36) 0 (0) 36 100 100 97 e 0.64 97
14.6 4 (1) 4 (29) 0 (0) 29 100 100 96 e 0.71 96
9.2a 25 (9) 14 (100) 11 (4) 100 96 58 100 27.00 0.00 96
APRIb Patients Tested, n (%)
Actual Fibrosis, n (%)
Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) LR + LR − DA (%)
All (n = 289) =F4 (n = 14) <F4 (n = 275)
1.00 28 (10) 6 (43) 22 (8) 43 92 22 97 5.61 0.62 90
2.00 3 (1) 0 (0) 3 (1) 0 99 0 95 0.00 1.00 94
0.80a 58 (20) 14 (100) 44 (16) 100 85 26 100 7.05 0.00 85

PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; DA, diagnostic accuracy.

a

The optimized cut-off value was defined as the one with the minimal (1 − sensitivity)2 + (1 − specificity)2 value and the maximal Youden index (sensitivity + specificity − 1).

b

The total patient number to evaluate APRI was 289 (including 284 patients included in the study and another five patients who received liver biopsy and APRI but who failed LSM).

c

Patient number and percentage with LSM or APRI levels ≥ the selected cut-off values.

d

Patient number and percentage with LSM or APRI levels ≥ the selected cut-off values in defined stages of hepatic fibrosis.

e

Not applicable because the denominator for the likelihood ratio calculation is zero.