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. 2011 Feb 6;26(5):369–373. doi: 10.1007/s10654-011-9546-9

Table 1.

Annual change in rate of (A) ischaemic heart disease mortality, and (B) cerebrovascular disease mortality between 1980 and 2009

Period I Period II Period III Period IV
Years Rate change Years Rate change Years Rate change Years Rate change
(A)
 Males 35–44 1980–1998 −4.0 (−4.3, −3.6) 1998–2009 −6.6 (−8.3, −4.0)        
45–54 1980–1986 −4.1 (−5.5, −2.7) 1986–1993 −7.4 (−8.9, −5.8) 1993–2000 −3.3 (−5.0, −1.5) 2000–2009 −7.7 (−8.9, −6.6)
55–64 1980–1985 −1.8 (−3.2, −0.3) 1985–1998 −5.9 (−6.3, −5.4) 1998–2009 −8.1 (−8.8, −7.4)    
65–74 1980–1985 −0.8 (−2.2, 0.7) 1985–1999 −4.4 (−4.8, −4.0) 1999–2009 −9.4 (−10.2, −8.7)    
75–84 1980–1985 −0.4 (−1.7, 1.0) 1985–1996 −2.9 (−3.4, −2.4) 1996–2003 −5.2 (−6.3, −4.1) 2003–2009 −8.4 (−9.6, −7.1)
 Females 35–44 1980–1989 −4.9 (−8, −1.8) 1989–1999 2.7 (−0.5, 6.1) 1999–2009 −7.4 (−10.1, −4.6)    
45–54 1980–2004 −3.3 (−2.7, −2.9) 2004–2009 −9.2 (−14.5, −3.6)        
55–64 1980–1984 0.1 (−3.4, 3.7) 1984–1996 −3.9 (−4.7, −3.2) 1996–2009 −7.9 (−8.7, −7.1)    
65–74 1980–2000 −3.7 (−4.0, −3.4) 2000–2009 −11.1 (−12.6, −9.7)        
75–84 1980–1985 −1.8 (−3.2, 0.5) 1985–1996 −3.5 (−4.0, −3.0) 1996–2003 −5.7 (−6.8, −4.5) 2003–2009 −8.5 (−9.9, −7.0)
(B)
 Males 35–44 1980–1982 −17.6 (−41.1, 15.4) 1982–2005 −1.2 (−2.1, −0.3) 2005–2009 −12.3 (−23.8, 0.9)    
45–54 1980–1987 −5.7 (−7.9, −3.3) 1987–2002 −0.9 (−1.7, 0) 2002–2009 −6.4 (−8.8, −3.8)    
55–64 1980–2001 −2.3 (−2.7, −1.8) 2001–2009 −6.9 (−8.9, −4.9)        
65–74 1980–1987 −4.0 (−4.7, −3.3) 1987–1994 −1.0 (−2.0, 0) 1994–2002 −2.9 (−3.7, −2.1) 2002–2009 8.5 (−9.4, −7.6)
75–84 1980–2002 −2.0 (−2.2, −1.9) 2002–2009 −7.6 (−8.7, −6.4)        
 Females 35–44 1980–1999 0.8 (−0.6, 2.2) 1999–2009 −6.1 (−9.7, −2.2)        
45–54 1980–1991 −2.8 (−4.2, −1.3) 1991–2002 1.6 (0, 3.2) 2002–2009 −6.5 (−9.0, −3.8)  
55–64 1980–2001 −2.1 (−2.6, −1.5) 2001–2009 4.9 (−7.4, −2.3)        
65–74 1980–1987 −4.8 (−5.9, −3.6) 1987–2000 −1.3 (−1.9, −0.8) 2000–2009 −7.2 (−8.2, −6.1)    
75–84 1980–1987 −3.2 (−4.2, −2.2) 1987–1992 −0.5 (−2.9, 1.9) 1992–2003 −3.0 (−3.6, −2.4) 2003–2009 −6.6 (−8.1, −5.2)

The annual change in rate in each period is significantly different from the preceding period, as determined by joinpoint analysis