TABLE 1.

Smoking-Attributable Deaths (SADs) and Deaths Averted if Menthol is Banned Under 3 Scenarios (10%, 20%, and 30% Change in Initiation and Cessation), Projected From 2010 to 2050: Total Population and Black Population, United States

Menthol Ban Scenarios	SADs, 2010	SADs, 2020	SADs, 2030	SADs, 2040	SADs, 2050	Total SADs	Total SADs Averted Compared With Status Quo
Total population
Status quo	386 732	410 809	399 028	342 472	272 424	17 923 889	–
10% change	386 732	406 046	388 347	331 117	262 574	17 600 782	323 107
20% change	386 732	402 568	382 621	326 799	259 002	17 445 735	478 154
30% change	386 732	399 091	376 893	322 478	255 424	17 290 637	633 252
Black population
Status quo	53 836	57 056	53 382	45 022	37 475	2 433 536	–
10% change	53 836	55 234	50 086	42 175	35 320	2 341 792	91 744
20% change	53 836	53 706	47 562	40 044	33 340	2 269 071	164 465
30% change	53 836	52 177	45 036	37 908	31 347	2 196 219	237 317

Note. Total SADs averted include all years from 2010 through 2050 and therefore include years not represented in the table.