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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Health Econ. 2011 Apr 23;30(3):549–559. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2011.03.004

Table 3.

Observed and predicted armed robberies (posterior mean and standard deviations)

Observed Treatment Received ⇓ Estimates Pre-period Post-period
Outpatient Short-stay Residential Long-stay Residential Overall
Outpatient Drug-free Observed Predicted E(change) 0.66 0.09 - -
0.66 (0.02)+ 0.09 (0.007)+ 0.19 (0.19) 0.49 (0.12)+
- −0.57 (0.02)+ −0.47 (0.19)+ −0.17 (0.12)
Short-stay Residential Observed Predicted E(change) 0.63 - 0.10 -
0.63 (0.03)+ 0.12 (0.02)+ 0.10 (0.01)+ 0.31 (0.24)
- −0.51 (0.03)+ −0.53 (0.03)+ −0.32 (0.24)
Long-stay Residential Observed Predicted E(change) 1.24 - - 0.38
1.25 (0.04)+ 0.19 (0.03)+ 0.71 (0.58) 0.38 (0.02)+
- −1.06 (0.04)+ −0.54 (0.58) −0.87 (0.04)+
OVERALL Observed Predicted E(change) 0.81 - - - 0.17
.81 (.02)+ 0.12 (0.01)+ 0.31 (0.23) 0.42 (.09)+ 0.17 (0.01)+
−0.69 (0.02)+ −0.51 (0.23)+ −0.39 (0.09)+ −0.64 (0.02)+
+

Bayes p-value < 0.05; E(change) = Post - Pre