Table 3.

Population-Based Data:

Percent Closer Rate of Observed to Predicted 5-year rates Across Combined Prognostic Subgroupings of age, T, N and grade*
	5yr RFS		5yr OS
	Numeracy	Adjuvant!	Numeracy	Adjuvant!
Surg Alone	44%	56%	12%	88%
Surg + 5FU	62%	38%	55%	45%
Percent Correct Predictions**
	5yr RFS		5yr OS
	Numeracy	Adjuvant!	Numeracy	Adjuvant!
Surg Alone	65%	66%	66%	69%
Surg + 5FU	58%	59%	64%	63%

^*Cell level analysis with > 10 observations

^**Correct if predicted probability of event >=0.5 and patient alive with no recurrence (RFS) or alive (OS) at 5 years; or predicted probability of event recurred or dead (RFS) or death (OS) < 0.5 and patient death at 5 years