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letter
. 2011 May;14(5):484–492. doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01610.x

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Geographical distribution of winners and losers. Left – The proportion of European species that occur in each individual country (bars, left axis) against the proportion of projected loser (blue asterisks, right axis) and winner species (green squares, right axis) as projected for 2080 with the A1FI scenario: (a) plant species occurring in protected areas; (b) vertebrate species occurring in protected areas; (c) IUCN Red data vertebrate and plant species occurring in protected areas (n=52); (d) Bird & Habitat directive vertebrate and plant species occurring in Natura 2000 sites (n=317). Notice that countries on the x-axis are ordered by the proportion of European species that occur in them. Right – Overlay between richness of species losing and winning suitable climate in conservation areas. Scores are divided into 10 equal-interval colour classes, where increasing intensities of blue represent increasing numbers of species losing suitable climate in conservation areas and increasing intensities of green represent increasing numbers of species winning suitable climate; shades of grey represent linearly covarying scores between winners and losers. All 10′ latitude and longitude cells with > 0% coverage with conservation areas are coloured. Regions with several small-sized conservation areas appear to have greater degree of protection but for the analyses, the percentage of grid-cell coverage by conservation areas was computed (Figure S1) and combined with modelled climatic suitabilities for each species. Country abbreviations are as follows: ALB – Albania; AND – Andorra; AUS – Austria, BEL – Belgium; BOS – Bosnia & Herzegovina; BUL – Bulgaria; CRO – Croatia; CZH – Czech Republic; DEN – Denmark; EST – Estonia; FIN – Finland; FRA – France; GER – Germany; GRE – Greece; HUN – Hungary; IRL – Ireland; ITA – Italy; LAT – Latvia; LIE – Liechtenstein; LIT – Lithuania; LUX – Luxembourg; MAC – Macedonia; MAL – Malta; MNG – Montenegro; MON – Monaco; NET – Netherlands; NOR – Norway; POL – Poland; POR – Portugal; ROM – Romania; SAM – San Marino; SER – Serbia; SLK – Slovakia; SLO – Slovenia; SPA – Spain; SWE – Sweden; SWI – Switzerland; UK – United Kingdom.