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. 2011 Jun 28;6(6):e21105. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0021105

Figure 6. Predictions in the human-hand urn when simulating the rare biosphere.

Figure 6

Prediction of the conditional uncovered probability (black) in nine urns associated with a human-hand urn. Point predictions produced by the Embedding algorithm (blue), point predictions produced by the algorithm each time a new species was discovered (red), Inline graphic upper-bound interval (orange), and Inline graphic conservative-upper interval (green). The algorithm used the parameters Inline graphic. The different urns were devised as follows. For each Inline graphic (indexing rows) and Inline graphic (indexing columns), a mixture of two urns was considered: an urn with the same distribution as the microbes found in a sample from a human-hand and weighted by the factor Inline graphic, and an urn consisting of Inline graphic colors (disjoint from the hand urn), with an exponentially decaying rank curve and weighted by the factor Inline graphic. See Fig. 5 for the rank curve associated with each urn.