Table 1.
Study | Model Type | Study Population & Time Horizon | De novo Cancers | Location | Multiple Adenomas | Malignant Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heitman et al (29) | Decision tree | Canadian 50-year-old males to age 53 years | No | No | No | Adenoma Size: 6–9 mm vs.10+ mm |
Sonnenberg et al (30) | Markov cohort | US 50-year-olds to death | No | No | No | Not Modeled |
Ladabaum et alE (31) | Markov cohort | US 50-year-olds to death | Yes | No | No | Adenoma Size: <10 mm vs.10+ mm |
Vijan et al (32) | Markov cohort | US 50-year-olds to death | No | No | No |
Low Risk: 1–5 mm or 6–9 mm without high-risk histologyD High Risk: 10+ mm or <10 mm (1–5 mm or 6–9 mm) with high-risk histologyD |
Hassan et alF (33) | Markov cohort | Italian 50-year-olds to age 80 years | Yes | No | No | Adenoma Size: 1–5 mm, 6–9 mm, 10+ mm |
Lee et al (34) | Markov cohort | British 50-year-olds to death | No | YesA | YesC | Adenoma Size: 6–9 mm, 10+ mm |
Telford et al (35) | Markov cohort | Canadian 50-year-olds to death | No | No | No |
Low Risk: <9 mm without high-risk histologyD High Risk: 9+ mm or <9 mm with high-risk histologyD |
Knudsen et al (7) | ||||||
MISCANG | Microsimulation | US 65-year-olds to death | No | YesB | Yes | Adenoma Size: 1–5 mm, 6–9 mm, 10+ mm |
CRC-SPIN | Microsimulation | US 65-year-olds to death | No | YesB | Yes | Adenoma Size: Continuous size in mm |
SimCRC | Microsimulation | US 65-year-olds to death | No | YesB | Yes | Adenoma Size: 1–5 mm, 6–9 mm, 10+ mm |
Two locations modeled (distal colon and rectum versus proximal colon)
Six locations modeled: cecum; ascending, transverse, descending, and sigmoid colon; rectum
One adenoma may occur in each of two locations
High-risk histology is present when an adenoma has advanced dysplasia or villous features.
Additional publication on CTC with this model: (50)
Additional publication on CTC with this model:(56)