Table 2.
Study | Sensitivity for Adenoma by Size/Risk | Specificity | Per Exam Cost | Least Costly Screening Program | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1–5 mm/Low-Risk | 6–9 mm/Low-Risk | ≥10 mm/High-risk | Cancer | COL | COL with polypectomy | CTC | ||||||||
CTC | COL | CTC | COL | CTC | COL | CTC | COL | CTC | COL | |||||
Heitman et al (29) | * | * | 0.61 | 0.94 | 0.71 | 0.96 | † | † | 0.84 | 1.0 | $547I | $668I | $445I | COL |
Sonnenberg et al (30) | 0.80 | 0.95 | 0.80 | 0.95 | 0.80 | 0.95 | 0.80 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 1.0 | $728 | $1,139 | $478 | CTCA |
Ladabaum et al (31) | 0.70 | 0.85 | 0.70 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 0.90 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.85 | 1.0 | $820 | $1,200 | $820 | COL |
Vijan et al (32)B | 0.46 | 0.85 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.95 | ‡ | ‡ | 0.91 | 1.0 | $653 | $831 | $559 | COL |
Hassan et al (33) | 0.48 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.90 | €148.2 | €228.6 | €100.9 | CTC |
Lee et al (34) | * | * | 0.653 | 0.924C 0.950D |
0.899 | 0.859 C 0.883D |
0.899 | 0.859C 0.883D |
0.88 | 1.0 | £488G | £488G | £128 | CTC |
Telford et al (35) | 0.50E | 0.92E | 0.50E | 0.92E | 0.78F | 0.97F | 0.89 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 1.0 | $424I | $609I | $590I | COL |
Knudsen et al (7)J | 0K | 0.75 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 0.95 | 0.92 | 0.95 | 0.80 | 0.90 | $498H | $649H | $488H | COL |
Adenomas <6 mm not modeled
Not reported, assumed no prevalent colorectal cancer
Not reported
COL screening was more cost-effective than CTC screening
CTC was evaluated with both 2- and 3-dimensional reading displays. Sensitivity, specificity and costs shown are for 3-dimensional CTC, which dominated 2-dimensional CTC.
Adenomas in the proximal colon
Adenomas in the distal colon
Low-risk adenomas, without high-risk histology
High-risk adenomas, includes lesions <10 mm with high-risk histology
Separate costs for COL with and without polypectomy not specified
Costs from the perspective of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
Canadian dollars
Sensitivity estimates are per lesion
Analysis assumed a 6 mm referral threshold for a follow-up colonoscopy, thus the effective sensitivity for 1–5mm adenomas was 0