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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Biometrics. 2011 Mar 18;67(4):1295–1304. doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2011.01591.x

Figure 2.

Figure 2

PSA posterior summary and forecasting: Plots of posterior means(—) and 95% credible intervals(gray shades) for the SVM with the Wiener process and OU process, respectively, till year 11.2. The future rates and levels are forecasted for the next 3 years, illustrated by the forecasting means (—) and 95% forecasting credible intervals(gray shades). The 5 randomly picked realizations for each plot are also illustrated.