Table 3.

Variables not dependent upon the current CKD stage

Variable Description	Value	Data Source
Utility of acute MI or stroke	0.1	opinion
Utility of CHF	0.76	[26]
Utility of death	0	[13]
Utility if disabled from stroke	0.35	[27]
Utility of dialysis	0.8	[13]
Utility of transplant	0.95	opinion
Monthly incidence of diabetes	0.005%	[28,29]
Probability of death from acute MI [mean (range)]	8% (1-15)	[30]
Probability of CHF after acute MI [mean (range)]	5% (1-15)	[31,32]
Probability of moderate-severe disability after stroke	33%	[33]
Probability of death from acute stroke	20%	[34]
Probability of choosing hemodialysis for renal replacement therapy	97.70%	[11]
GFR Threshold for placing fistula	30 ml/min	[11]
Monthly probability of fistula placement	25%	[11]
Monthly mortality first year on dialysis with catheter	4.25%	[35]
Monthly mortality after first year on dialysis with catheter	1.47%	[11]
Monthly mortality on dialysis with fistula	1.33%	[35]
Probability of choosing transplant for renal replacement therapy	2.30%	[11]
Mortality during transplant surgery	1.20%	[36]
Monthly probability of transplant failure	0.51%	[11]
Monthly mortality with transplant	0.31%	[11]