Table 2.
Exp. | Treatment | Transmission parameter (day-1)(95%CrI) |
Latent period (day)(95%CrI) |
Infectious period (day)(95%CrI) |
Reproduction number (95%CrI) |
Generation interval (day)(95%CrI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | no vaccination challenge at day 28 |
1.6 (0.97-2.4) | 0.88 (0.70-0.94) | 3.2 (2.5-4.3) | 5.1 (3.0-8.4) | 1.5 (1.3-1.7) |
2 | vaccination at day 1 challenge at day 28 |
1.5 (0.87-2.3) | 0.86 (0.69-0.96) | 3.7 (2.8-5.1) | 5.5 (3.1-9.3) | 1.4 (1.2-1.5) |
3 | vaccination at day 10 challenge at day 28 |
1.3 (0.69-2.1) | 0.89 (0.56-1.1) | 3.5 (2.5-5.2) | 4.4 (2.3-8.3) | 1.4 (1.2-1.5) |
4 | no vaccination challenge at day 1 |
0.38 (0.17-0.72) | 3.3 (2.4-4.1) | 2.8 (2.1-3.7) | 1.0 (0.45-2.1) | 1.1 (0.77-1.3) |
1-3 | challenge at day 28 | 1.4 (1.1-1.9) | i: 0.93 (0.88-0.96) c: 0.96 (0.85-1.1) |
3.3 (2.7-3.9) | 4.6 (3.3-6.4) | 1.4 (1.3-1.5) |
Parameter estimates are given as posterior medians. Equal-tailed 95% credible intervals are shown between brackets. Estimates of the latent period in the combined analysis of Experiments 1-3 refer to the inoculated (i) and contact (c) birds.