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. 2011 Aug;101(8):1456–1465. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2010.300086

TABLE 3.

Calculation of the Number of US Deaths in 2000 Attributable to Each Social Factor

Social Factor and Age Group RR (95% CI)a Prevalence, %b PAF, %c Total Deaths,d No. Deaths Attributable to Social Factor,e No.
Individual-level factors
Low education
    Aged ≥ 25 y 244 526
    Aged 25–64 y 1.81 (1.64, 2.00) 16.1 11.5 972 645 112 209
    Aged ≥ 65 y 1.23 (0.86, 1.76) 34.5 7.4 1 799 825 132 317
Poverty
    Aged ≥ 25 y 133 250
    Aged 25–64 y 1.75 (1.51, 2.04) 9.5 6.7 972 645 64 692
    Aged ≥ 65 y 1.40 (1.37, 1.43) 9.9 3.8 1 799 825 68 558
Low social support
    Aged ≥ 25 y 161 522
    Aged 25–64 y 1.34 (1.23, 1.47) 21.0 6.7 972 645 64 819
    Aged ≥ 65 y 1.34 (1.16, 1.55) 16.7 5.4 1 799 825 96 703
Area-level factorsf
Area-level poverty 1.22 (1.17, 1.28) 7.8 1.7 2 331 261 39 330
Income inequality 1.17 (1.06, 1.29) 31.7 5.1 2 331 261 119 208
Racial segregation 1.59 (1.31, 1.94) 13.8 7.5 2 331 261 175 520

Note. CI = confidence interval; PAF = population attributable fraction; RR = relative risk.

a

Summary relative risk estimates derived from meta-analyses as described in Methods.

b

Prevalence of each social factor in the US population of the relevant age, according to 2000 US Census data, except low social support, according to data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, as reported in Ford et al., 2006.76

c

PAF = ([p(RR–1)] / [p(RR–1) + 1]) × 100, where p is the prevalence expressed as a proportion and RR is the relative risk estimate for the group of interest.

d

Total number of deaths in each age group in 2000, from Minino et al., 2002.81 For low education, poverty, and low social support, deaths for the younger age group include deaths for those aged 25–74 y to account for an average of 10 y of follow-up time in studies used to calculate the summary relative risk estimate.

e

Deaths attributable to social factor = (PAF/100) × total deaths in 2000. Numbers reflect the use of a nonrounded population attributable fraction in calculations.

f

Age group for all area-level factors was ≥ 25 y.