Table 2.

Full output from interval-censored parametric survival analysis showing the effect of community-level mean lifetime partners and prevalence of partnership concurrency in men on a woman's hazard of acquiring HIV infection (N=7284)

			Mean lifetime partners*		Concurrency*		Both†
			HR (95% CI)	p value	HR (95% CI)	p value	HR (95% CI)	p value
Unadjusted models
Mean lifetime partners			1·09 (1·03–1·14)	0·001	..	..	1·10 (1·04–1·16)	0·001
Concurrency (10% increase)			..	..	1·00 (0·94–1·07)	0·981	0·96 (0·90–1·03)	0·307
Adjusted models
Community level (male)
	Mean lifetime partners		1·08 (1·03–1·14)	0·004	..	..	1·09 (1·03–1·15)	0·004
	Concurrency (10% increase)		..	..	1·02 (0·95–1·09)	0·556	0·99 (0·91–1·06)	0·730
	Prevalence (10% increase)*‡		1·17 (0·98–1·39)	0·074	1·20 (1·01–1·42)	0·042	1·17 (0·99–1·39)	0·072
Individual level
	Partners in previous 12 months (vs 0)
		One	2·58 (1·43–4·64)	0·002	2·56 (1·42–4·62)	0·002	2·58 (1·43–4·64)	0·002
		More than one	4·84 (2·45–9·56)	<0·0001	4·84 (2·45–9·56)	<0·0001	4·83 (2·45–9·54)	<0·0001
	Marital status (vs single)
		Married, monogamous	0·60 (0·43–0·83)	0·002	0·60 (0·44–0·84)	0·002	0·60 (0·44–0·84)	0·002
		Married, polygamous	0·67 (0·34–1·33)	0·250	0·67 (0·34–1·34)	0·257	0·67 (0·34–1·33)	0·250
	Urban (vs rural)
		Peri-urban	1·17 (0·95–1·45)	0·147	1·19 (0·96–1·47)	0·118	1·16 (0·94–1·44)	0·166
		Urban	0·71 (0·31–1·63)	0·418	0·72 (0·31–1·66)	0·444	0·71 (0·31–1·63)	0·415
	Wealth tertile (vs wealthiest)
		Intermediary wealth	0·94 (0·76–1·15)	0·553	0·94 (0·77–1·16)	0·581	0·94 (0·76–1·15)	0·551
		Poorest	0·87 (0·70–1·09)	0·220	0·89 (0·71–1·10)	0·283	0·87 (0·70–1·08)	0·217
	Years of education		0·96 (0·93–0·98)	0·001	0·96 (0·93–0·98)	0·001	0·96 (0·93–0·98)	0·001
	Age (vs 15–19 years)
		20–24 years	1·52 (1·25–1·84)	<0·0001	1·50 (1·24–1·82)	<0·0001	1·52 (1·25–1·84)	<0·0001
		25–29 years	1·11 (0·82–1·49)	0·498	1·10 (0·82–1·47)	0·539	1·11 (0·82–1·49)	0·499
		30–34 years	0·72 (0·50–1·03)	0·069	0·71 (0·49–1·01)	0·057	0·72 (0·50–1·03)	0·069
		35–39 years	0·55 (0·39–0·79)	0·001	0·55 (0·38–0·79)	0·001	0·55 (0·39–0·79)	0·001
		40–44 years	0·29 (0·19–0·44)	<0·0001	0·29 (0·19–0·44)	<0·0001	0·29 (0·19–0·44)	<0·0001
		≥45 years	0·19 (0·12–0·28)	<0·0001	0·19 (0·12–0·28)	<0·0001	0·19 (0·12–0·28)	<0·0001

HR=hazard ratio.

^*Derived from male sexual behaviour in the surrounding local community with a standard Gaussian kernel (radius 3 km) around each woman in the cohort (figure 2).

^†Includes both male community-level mean lifetime partners and prevalence of concurrent partnerships covariates.

^‡Unadjusted hazard ratio, 1·26 (p<0·0001).