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. 2011 Aug 1;61(589):e459–e468. doi: 10.3399/bjgp11X588420

Table 6.

Odds ratios of total knee replacement for characteristics at baseline for 106 knee osteoarthritis patients with full follow-up

Baseline covariate n Unadjusted odds ratio (95% CI) P-value Adjusted odds ratio (95% CI)a P-value
Separated, divorced, widowed 106 1.67 (0.64 to 4.38) 0.300

One ormore comorbidities 106 0.78 (0.32 to 1.91) 0.580

Uses walking stick 103 1.83 (0.82 to 4.32) 0.142

Pain always present 104 1.29 (0.64 to 3.57) 0.538

VAS pain score (0 = no pain to 10 = worse pain) 103 1.33 (1.08 to 1.64) 0.008

WOMAC pain score (0 = no pain to 20 = extreme pain) 106 1.14 (1.01 to 1.28) 0.038

WOMAC physical function score (0 = no difficulty to 68 = extreme difficulty) 106 1.04 (1.00 to 1.07) 0.049

WOMAC stiffness score (0 = no stiffness to 8 = extreme stiffness) 106 1.27 (1.00 to 1.62) 0.053

Oxford Knee Score (12 = least difficulties to 60 =most difficulties) 105 1.06 (1.01 to 1.11) 0.021

SF-36 painb 106 0.99 (0.97 to 1.01) 0.191

SF-36 physical function 106 0.97 (0.94 to 0.99) 0.004 0.96 (0.94 to 0.99) 0.002

SF-36 role limitation (physical) 106 0.95 (0.91 to 0.99) 0.019

SF-36 role limitation (mental) 106 0.98 (0.96 to 1.01) 0.196
a

Forward stepwise final model: likelihood ratio χ2 = 11.62, df = 1, P = 0.001; receiver operating characteristic area under the curve = 0.60, P = 0.092; Nagelkerke pseudo-R2 = 0.15; 15/38 having total joint replacement (TJR) correctly predicted (sensitivity = 39.5%), 50/62 not having TJR correctly predicted (specificity = 80.6%), 65/100 surgical outcomes correctly predicted (correct prediction rate = 65.0%).

b

All SF-36 scores: lower scores indicateworse outcomes. SF-36 = Short Form-36. VAS = visual analogue scale. WOMAC = Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index.