Table 3.
Predicted Risk of Breast Cancer in Women Having One Affected First-Degree Relative from Genetic Profiles
Percentile | Lifetime Risk (95% CI) | Incidence Rate Ratio (95% CI) | 10-Year-Risk at Age 50 (95% CI) | NNS | Age at which 10-Year Risk > 2.39% | Age at which 5-Year Risk > 1.66% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 0.132 (0.119–0.138) | 1.11 (0.99–1.17) | 0.026 (0.024-0.028) | 1634 | 47.3 | 57.6 |
10 | 0.150 (0.138–0.156) | 1.28 (1.17–1.33) | 0.030 (0.028-0.032) | 1420 | 44.2 | 54.4 |
20 | 0.175 (0.165–0.179) | 1.51 (1.43–1.55) | 0.036 (0.034-0.037) | 1206 | 41.3 | 50.3 |
30 | 0.194 (0.187–0.197) | 1.70 (1.63–1.73) | 0.040 (0.039-0.041) | 1075 | 39.7 | 47.3 |
40 | 0.211 (0.207–0.213) | 1.87 (1.83–1.89) | 0.044 (0.043-0.045) | 978 | 38.5 | 45.2 |
50 | 0.228 (0.226–0.229) | 2.05 (2.03–2.06) | 0.048 (0.048-0.048) | 896 | 37.6 | 43.8 |
60 | 0.246 (0.245–0.246) | 2.24 (2.23–2.25) | 0.053 (0.052-0.053) | 823 | 36.8 | 42.7 |
70 | 0.265 (0.263–0.269) | 2.45 (2.43–2.50) | 0.057 (0.057-0.059) | 753 | 36.0 | 41.6 |
80 | 0.289 (0.286–0.297) | 2.72 (2.68–2.82) | 0.064 (0.063-0.066) | 680 | 35.1 | 40.6 |
90 | 0.324 (0.318–0.338) | 3.13 (3.06–3.31) | 0.073 (0.071-0.077) | 594 | 34.0 | 39.2 |
95 | 0.354 (0.345–0.374) | 3.51 (3.40–3.77) | 0.081 (0.079-0.087) | 532 | 33.1 | 38.3 |
The incidence rate ratio is computed with reference to the general population. The following abbreviations are used: CI, confidence interval; NNS, number of individuals that need to be screened in order to prevent one cancer death.