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. 2011 May 13;88(5):548–565. doi: 10.1016/j.ajhg.2011.04.001

Table 3.

Predicted Risk of Breast Cancer in Women Having One Affected First-Degree Relative from Genetic Profiles

Percentile Lifetime Risk (95% CI) Incidence Rate Ratio (95% CI) 10-Year-Risk at Age 50 (95% CI) NNS Age at which 10-Year Risk > 2.39% Age at which 5-Year Risk > 1.66%
5 0.132 (0.119–0.138) 1.11 (0.99–1.17) 0.026 (0.024-0.028) 1634 47.3 57.6
10 0.150 (0.138–0.156) 1.28 (1.17–1.33) 0.030 (0.028-0.032) 1420 44.2 54.4
20 0.175 (0.165–0.179) 1.51 (1.43–1.55) 0.036 (0.034-0.037) 1206 41.3 50.3
30 0.194 (0.187–0.197) 1.70 (1.63–1.73) 0.040 (0.039-0.041) 1075 39.7 47.3
40 0.211 (0.207–0.213) 1.87 (1.83–1.89) 0.044 (0.043-0.045) 978 38.5 45.2
50 0.228 (0.226–0.229) 2.05 (2.03–2.06) 0.048 (0.048-0.048) 896 37.6 43.8
60 0.246 (0.245–0.246) 2.24 (2.23–2.25) 0.053 (0.052-0.053) 823 36.8 42.7
70 0.265 (0.263–0.269) 2.45 (2.43–2.50) 0.057 (0.057-0.059) 753 36.0 41.6
80 0.289 (0.286–0.297) 2.72 (2.68–2.82) 0.064 (0.063-0.066) 680 35.1 40.6
90 0.324 (0.318–0.338) 3.13 (3.06–3.31) 0.073 (0.071-0.077) 594 34.0 39.2
95 0.354 (0.345–0.374) 3.51 (3.40–3.77) 0.081 (0.079-0.087) 532 33.1 38.3

The incidence rate ratio is computed with reference to the general population. The following abbreviations are used: CI, confidence interval; NNS, number of individuals that need to be screened in order to prevent one cancer death.