Table 5.
Predicted Risk of Prostate Cancer in General Population
Percentile | Lifetime Risk (95% CI) | Incidence Rate Ratio (95% CI) | 10-Year Risk at Age 50 (95% CI) | 10-Year Risk at Age 60 (95% CI) | NNS | Age at which Risk > 2.11% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 0.044 (0.043–0.053) | 0.29 (0.28–0.35) | 0.006 (0.006–0.007) | 0.018 (0.017–0.021) | 5477 | 64.3 |
10 | 0.059 (0.057–0.068) | 0.39 (0.38–0.45) | 0.008 (0.008–0.010) | 0.023 (0.023–0.027) | 4103 | 58.5 |
20 | 0.081 (0.079–0.089) | 0.54 (0.53–0.60) | 0.012 (0.011–0.013) | 0.033 (0.032–0.036) | 2949 | 54.8 |
30 | 0.100 (0.099–0.108) | 0.69 (0.67–0.74) | 0.014 (0.014–0.016) | 0.041 (0.040–0.044) | 2353 | 52.8 |
40 | 0.120 (0.119–0.125) | 0.83 (0.82–0.87) | 0.017 (0.017–0.018) | 0.049 (0.049–0.051) | 1956 | 51.3 |
50 | 0.140 (0.139–0.143) | 0.98 (0.98–1.01) | 0.021 (0.021–0.021) | 0.058 (0.058–0.059) | 1656 | 50.1 |
60 | 0.162 (0.162–0.163) | 1.16 (1.16–1.17) | 0.024 (0.024–0.025) | 0.068 (0.068–0.068) | 1411 | 49.0 |
70 | 0.189 (0.186–0.189) | 1.38 (1.36–1.38) | 0.029 (0.029–0.029) | 0.080 (0.079–0.080) | 1196 | 48.0 |
80 | 0.223 (0.216–0.224) | 1.67 (1.61–1.68) | 0.035 (0.034–0.035) | 0.097 (0.093–0.097) | 994 | 46.9 |
90 | 0.275 (0.261–0.278) | 2.17 (2.03–2.19) | 0.045 (0.042–0.046) | 0.123 (0.116–0.125) | 779 | 45.6 |
95 | 0.323 (0.302–0.327) | 2.66 (2.43–2.71) | 0.055 (0.051–0.056) | 0.149 (0.137–0.151) | 645 | 44.6 |
The incidence rate ratio is computed with reference to the general population. The following abbreviations are sued: CI, confidence interval; NNS, number of individuals that need to be screened in order to prevent one cancer death.