Table 2.
Sensitivity of continuous weekend-extension strategies to compliance levels
| Effectiveness | R0 = 1.4 | R0 = 2.0 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compliance | Overall attack rates % (95% CIa) | Relative effectivenessb | Overall attack rates % (95% CI) | Relative effectiveness | |
| Baseline | 18.61 (18.54, 18.71) | 0.00 | 26.43 (26.36, 26.53) | 0.00 | |
| Mon | 100% | 16.14 (16.03, 16.26) | 0.13 | 25.52 (25.43, 25.62) | 0.03 |
| 90% | 16.41 (16.28, 16.54) | 0.12 | 25.58 (25.49, 25.67) | 0.03 | |
| 75% | 16.83 (16.74, 16.96) | 0.10 | 25.74 (25.67, 25.82) | 0.03 | |
| 50% | 17.53 (17.39, 17.65) | 0.06 | 26.01 (25.95, 26.09) | 0.02 | |
| Mon+Tue | 100% | 11.82 (11.58, 12.11) | 0.36 | 23.84 (23.73, 23.94) | 0.10 |
| 90% | 12.98 (12.80, 13.17) | 0.30 | 24.10 (24.00, 24.22) | 0.10 | |
| 75% | 14.23 (13.93, 14.46) | 0.23 | 24.55 (24.41, 24.96) | 0.07 | |
| 50% | 15.99 (15.81, 16.22) | 0.14 | 25.28 (25.16, 25.36) | 0.04 | |
| Mon+Tue | 100% | 3.26 (1.47, 4.79) | 0.82 | 20.30 (20.16, 20.42) | 0.23 |
| +Wed | 90% | 7.24 (4.87, 8.21) | 0.61 | 21.15 (21.01, 21.34) | 0.20 |
| 75% | 10.92 (10.27, 11.37) | 0.41 | 22.31 (22.17, 22.43) | 0.16 | |
| 50% | 14.45 (14.13, 14.80) | 0.22 | 24.00 (23.81, 24.15) | 0.10 | |
a95%CI stands for the 95% confidence intervals from 50 model realizations.
bRelative effectiveness = (Baseline attack rate -Strategy-specific attack rate)/Baseline attack rate.
Table 2 compares the overall attack rates and relative effectiveness resulted from three continuous weekend-extension strategies (Mon, Mon+Tue, and Mon+Tue+Wed). Sensitivity analysis was conducted on each strategy under five compliance levels of 0%, 50%, 75%, 90%, and 100%.