Table 3.
Sensitivity of discontinuous weekend-extension strategies to compliance levels
| Effectiveness | R0 = 1.4 | R0 = 2.0 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compliance | Overall attack rates % (95%CIa) | Relative effectivenessb | Overall attack rates % (95%CI) | Relative effectiveness | |
| Baseline | 18.61 (18.54, 18.71) | 0.00 | 26.43 (26.36, 26.53) | 0.00 | |
| Wed | 100% | 16.53 (16.42, 16.64) | 0.11 | 25.67 (25.58, 25.75) | 0.03 |
| 90% | 16.76 (16.60, 16.90) | 0.10 | 25.73 (25.67, 25.79) | 0.03 | |
| 75% | 17.10 (16.98, 17.21) | 0.08 | 25.86 (25.77, 25.95) | 0.02 | |
| 50% | 17.70 (17.54, 17.87) | 0.05 | 26.08 (26.01, 26.14) | 0.01 | |
| Tue+Thur | 100% | 14.43 (14.30, 14.58) | 0.22 | 24.77 (24.68, 24.84) | 0.06 |
| 90% | 15.00 (14.87, 15.16) | 0.19 | 24.93 (24.83, 25.00) | 0.06 | |
| 75% | 15.73 (15.63, 15.83) | 0.15 | 25.23 (25.17, 25.29) | 0.05 | |
| 50% | 16.90 (16.79, 17.02) | 0.09 | 25.70 (25.62, 25.77) | 0.03 | |
| Mon+Wed+ | 100% | 5.49 (1.59, 6.88) | 0.69 | 21.41 (21.27, 21.52) | 0.19 |
| Fri | 90% | 9.23 (8.11, 9.80) | 0.50 | 22.07 (21.95, 22.23) | 0.16 |
| 75% | 11.92 (11.64, 12.27) | 0.36 | 23.00 (22.81, 23.11) | 0.13 | |
| 50% | 14.95 (14.72, 15.28) | 0.20 | 24.42 (24.32, 24.56) | 0.08 | |
a95%CI stands for the 95% confidence intervals from 50 model realizations.
bRelative effectiveness = (Baseline attack rate -Strategy-specific attack rate)/Baseline attack rate.
Table 3 compares the overall attack rates and relative effectiveness resulted from three discontinuous weekend-extension strategies (Wed, Tue+Thur, and Mon+Wed+Fri). Sensitivity analysis was conducted on each strategy under five compliance levels of 0%, 50%, 75%, 90%, and 100%.