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. 2010 Jun 8;25(9):1922–1930. doi: 10.1002/jbmr.150

Table 2.

Relative Risk [Age-Adjusted Odds Ratios (ORs)] of Specific Vertebral Deformities (Semiquantitative Assessment) Among Postmenopausal Women by Five Main Predictor Variable Categories (Most Significant Predictor of Vertebral Fracture Within Each Category Is Indicated in Boldface Type)

Any deformity Mild (grade 1) deformity only Any severe (grade 2–3) deformity



Variable (units) OR (95% CI)a AUC OR (95% CI)a AUC OR (95% CI)a AUC
Bone density
 Lumbar spine (LS) aBMD (g/cm2) 1.3 (1.1–1.6) 0.58 1.2 (0.9–1.6) 0.55 1.8 (1.2–2.6) 0.64
 Femoral neck aBMD (g/cm2) 1.5 (1.2–1.8) 0.60 1.3 (0.97–1.7) 0.56 2.2 (1.4–3.7) 0.69
 Total radius aBMD (g/cm2) 1.4 (1.2–1.7) 0.59 1.2 (0.9–1.6) 0.54 2.0 (1.3–3.2) 0.67
 LS total vBMD (mg/cm3) 1.8 (1.5–2.2) 0.66 1.5 (1.1–2.0) 0.61 3.5 (2.1–5.8) 0.78
 LS trabecular vBMD (mg/cm3) 1.9 (1.5–2.3) 0.67 1.5 (1.1–2.0) 0.61 4.0 (2.3–6.9) 0.79
 Distal radius trabecular vBMD (mg/cm3) 1.5 (1.2–1.8) 0.61 1.2 (0.9–1.6) 0.55 2.2 (1.4–3.4) 0.70
 Distal radius cortical vBMD (mg/cm3) 1.2 (0.99–1.5) 0.56 1.2 (0.8–1.6) 0.55 1.4 (0.96–2.0) 0.61
 Bone geometry (lumbar spine)
 Cross-sectional area (mm2) 0.9 (0.7–1.03) 0.55 0.8 (0.6–1.1) 0.54 0.7 (0.5–1.0) 0.57
 Endocortical area (mm2) 0.8 (0.7–0.97) 0.57 0.8 (0.6–1.04) 0.56 0.6 (0.4–0.9) 0.61
 Cortical area (mm2) 1.3 (1.04–1.6) 0.58 1.2 (0.9–1.6) 0.56 1.6 (1.1–2.3) 0.63
 Apparent cortical thickness (mm) 1.6 (1.3–1.9) 0.63 1.6 (1.2–2.1) 0.60 2.4 (1.6–3.8) 0.71
Bone microstructure (distal radius)
 Trabecular bone volume/total volume (%) 1.5 (1.2–1.8) 0.60 1.2 (0.9–1.6) 0.55 2.2 (1.4–3.3) 0.70
 Trabecular number (1/mm) 1.4 (1.1–1.7) 0.60 1.3 (0.9–1.7) 0.57 1.8 (1.2–2.8) 0.67
 Trabecular thickness (µm) 1.3 (1.1–1.7) 0.57 1.0 (0.7–1.3) 0.51 1.8 (1.1–2.8) 0.65
 Trabecular separation (Tb.Sp, µm) 0.8 (0.6–0.9) 0.58 0.9 (0.6–1.2) 0.55 0.6 (0.4–0.95) 0.64
 Tb.Sp distribution (µm) 0.8 (0.6–0.95) 0.57 0.8 (0.6–1.2) 0.55 0.6 (0.4–0.9) 0.62
 Connectivity density (1/mm3) 1.4 (1.2–1.8) 0.60 1.2 (0.9–1.6) 0.55 2.1 (1.3–3.3) 0.69
 Structure model index 0.7 (0.5–0.8) 0.61 0.9 (0.7–1.2) 0.54 0.4 (0.2–0.7) 0.71
 Cortical thickness (mm) 1.3 (1.1–1.6) 0.59 1.2 (0.9–1.6) 0.56 1.7 (1.1–2.6) 0.65
Bone strength (lumbar spine)
 Overall compressive strength (N) 1.7 (1.4–2.1) 0.64 1.4 (1.1–1.8) 0.59 2.9 (1.8–4.8) 0.74
 Cortical strength (N) 1.5 (1.2–1.8) 0.61 1.3 (0.98–1.7) 0.57 2.1 (1.4–3.2) 0.69
 Trabecular strength (N) 1.8 (1.4–2.3) 0.65 1.4 (1.1–1.8) 0.58 3.7 (2.0–6.7) 0.76
 “Homogenized” trabecular strength (N) 1.7 (1.3–2.1) 0.63 1.4 (1.04–1.8) 0.58 2.7 (1.6–4.6) 0.73
 Strength per unit density (N · cm3/mg) 1.5 (1.2–1.8) 0.60 1.1 (0.9–1.5) 0.52 2.1 (1.4–3.2) 0.70
 AP bending stiffness (kN · m/rad) 1.4 (1.1–1.7) 0.59 1.2 (0.95–1.6) 0.55 1.9 (1.2–2.9) 0.66
Load-to-strength ratio (ϕ, lumbar spine)
 Upright standing 1.7 (1.4–2.1) 0.64 1.5 (1.1–2.2) 0.59 2.7 (1.7–4.4) 0.75
 45-Degree forward flexion 1.7 (1.4–2.1) 0.65 1.5 (1.1–2.2) 0.59 2.7 (1.7–4.3) 0.75
 90-Degree forward flexion 1.7 (1.4–2.1) 0.65 1.5 (1.1–2.2) 0.59 2.7 (1.7–4.3) 0.75
 90-Degree forward flexion while lifting 10 kg 1.8 (1.5–2.2) 0.65 1.5 (1.1–2.2) 0.59 2.9 (1.8–4.6) 0.75
a

Odds ratio per SD decrease (all variables except ϕ, which is per SD increase), adjusted for age.