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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Jan 21.
Published in final edited form as: N Engl J Med. 2011 Jul 21;365(3):213–221. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1012592

Table 3.

Hazard Ratios for Cardiovascular Disease, According to Models with and without Internal Carotid Artery (ICA) Intima–Media Thicknesses.*

Risk Factor Model with Risk Factors Only Model with Risk Factors and ICA Intima–Media Thickness Model with Risk Factors and ICA Intima–Media Thickness >1.5 mm
Hazard Ratio or C Statistic (95% CI) P Value Hazard Ratio or C Statistic (95% CI) P Value Hazard Ratio or C Statistic (95% CI) P Value
Sex, female vs. male 0.74 (0.57–0.95) 0.02 0.78 (0.61–1.01) 0.06 0.79 (0.61–1.02) 0.07

Age, per increase of 1 yr 1.05 (1.04–1.07) <0.001 1.05 (1.03–1.06) <0.001 1.04 (1.03–1.06) <0.001

Systolic pressure, per increase of 1 mm Hg 1.01 (1.01–1.02) <0.001 1.01 (1.01–1.02) <0.001 1.01 (1.00–1.02) 0.002

Treatment for high blood pressure, yes vs. no 1.55 (1.21–2.00) <0.001 1.51 (1.18–1.95) 0.001 1.47 (1.14–1.89) 0.003

Cholesterol, per increase of 1 mg/dl
 Total 1.00 (1.00–1.01) 0.02 1.00 (1.00–1.01) 0.03 1.00 (1.00–1.01) 0.03

 HDL 0.98 (0.97–0.99) <0.001 0.98 (0.97–0.99) <0.001 0.98 (0.97–0.99) <0.001

Diabetes, yes vs. no 1.44 (1.06–1.97) 0.02 1.41 (1.03–1.92) 0.03 1.38 (1.01–1.88) 0.04

Cigarette smoking, yes vs. no 2.23 (1.67–2.98) <0.001 2.10 (1.57–2.81) <0.001 1.97 (1.47–2.64) <0.001

ICA intima–media thickness
 Per increase of 1 mm 1.26 (1.16–1.36) <0.001

 Per increase of 1 SD 1.21 (1.13–1.29) <0.001

 Thickness ≥1.5 mm, representing plaque 1.92 (1.49–2.47) <0.001

C statistic 0.748 (0.719–0.776) 0.758 (0.730–0.785) 0.762 (0.734–0.789)
*

The results of Cox proportional-hazards models are shown. HDL denotes high-density lipoprotein