Table 1. Model inputs and costs: Sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic procedures, based on estimates derived from existing studies (see text) or, when reference studies not available, from author estimation.
Diagnostic | Specimen collection | Sensitivity | Specificity | Cost (USD) |
CXR | None | 0.86 | 0.40 | $40.00 |
DQ | Oral wash | 0.30 | 1.00 | $2.32 |
Expectorated sputum | 0.60 | 1.00 | $2.22 | |
Induced sputum | 0.75 | 1.00 | $8.72 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 0.75 | 1.00 | $77.12 | |
GMS | Oral wash | 0.30 | 1.00 | $4.21 |
Expectorated sputum | 0.52 | 0.95 | $4.11 | |
Induced sputum | 0.70 | 0.96 | $10.61 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 0.82 | 0.98 | $79.01 | |
TBO | Oral wash | 0.30 | 1.00 | $0.93 |
Expectorated sputum | 0.71 | 1.00 | $0.83 | |
Induced sputum | 0.75 | 1.00 | $7.33 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 0.80 | 1.00 | $75.73 | |
CW | Oral wash | 0.30 | 1.00 | $2.94 |
Expectorated sputum | 0.33 | 1.00 | $2.84 | |
Induced sputum | 0.57 | 1.00 | $9.34 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 0.78 | 1.00 | $77.74 | |
IFA | Oral wash | 0.30 | 1.00 | $20.79 |
Expectorated sputum | 0.50 | 1.00 | $20.69 | |
Induced sputum | 0.81 | 1.00 | $27.19 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 1.00 | 1.00 | $95.59 | |
PCR | Oral wash | 0.71 | 0.99 | $8.78 |
Expectorated sputum | 0.85 | 0.99 | $8.68 | |
Induced sputum | 0.94 | 0.99 | $15.18 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 1.00 | 0.94 | $83.58 | |
nPCR | Oral wash | 0.83 | 1.00 | $10.32 |
Expectorated sputum | 0.91 | 1.00 | $10.22 | |
Induced sputum | 1.00 | 1.00 | $16.72 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 1.00 | 0.89 | $85.12 | |
rtPCR | Oral wash | 0.89 | 0.94 | $13.84 |
Expectorated sputum | 0.92 | 0.94 | $13.74 | |
Induced sputum | 0.95 | 0.90 | $20.24 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 0.99 | 0.80 | $88.64 |
CXR: Chest x-ray; DQ: Diff-Quick; GMS: Grocott's Methenamine Silver Stain; TBO: Toluidine Blue O; CW: Calcofluor white stain; IFA: Immunofluorescence; PCR: Polymerase chain reaction; nPCR: nested PCR; rtPCR: real-time (quantitative) PCR.