Table 2. Model outputs: Average Cost effectiveness ratio (ACER) (total diagnostic and treatment cost per life-year gained) for each diagnostic procedure.
Diagnostic | Specimen | % of patients successfully treated | ACER (5% prevalence) | ACER (20% prevalence) | ACER (50% prevalence) |
CXR | None | 77.0% | $1,077 | $270 | $109 |
DQ | Oral wash | 27.0% | $175 | $46 | $20 |
Expectorated sputum | 54.0% | $85 | $24 | $11 | |
Induced sputum | 67.5% | $261 | $68 | $29 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 67.5% | $2,288 | $574 | $232 | |
GMS | Oral wash | 27.0% | $315 | $81 | $34 |
Expectorated sputum | 46.8% | $184 | $48 | $21 | |
Induced sputum | 63.0% | $343 | $88 | $37 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 73.8% | $2,146 | $539 | $217 | |
TBO | Oral wash | 27.0% | $72 | $20 | $10 |
Expectorated sputum | 64.3% | $29 | $10 | $6 | |
Induced sputum | 67.5% | $220 | $57 | $25 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 72.0% | $2,107 | $529 | $213 | |
CW | Oral wash | 27.0% | $221 | $58 | $25 |
Expectorated sputum | 29.7% | $194 | $51 | $22 | |
Induced sputum | 51.3% | $367 | $94 | $39 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 70.2% | $2,218 | $557 | $225 | |
IFA | Oral wash | 27.0% | $1,543 | $388 | $157 |
Expectorated sputum | 45.0% | $923 | $233 | $95 | |
Induced sputum | 72.9% | $749 | $190 | $78 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 90.0% | $2,127 | $534 | $216 | |
PCR | Oral wash | 63.9% | $279 | $72 | $31 |
Expectorated sputum | 76.5% | $231 | $60 | $26 | |
Induced sputum | 84.6% | $363 | $93 | $39 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 90.0% | $1,864 | $468 | $189 | |
nPCR | Oral wash | 74.7% | $279 | $72 | $31 |
Expectorated sputum | 81.9% | $253 | $65 | $28 | |
Induced sputum | 90.0% | $375 | $96 | $40 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 90.0% | $1,901 | $477 | $193 | |
rtPCR | Oral wash | 80.1% | $353 | $90 | $38 |
Expectorated sputum | 82.8% | $339 | $87 | $36 | |
Induced sputum | 85.5% | $483 | $123 | $51 | |
Bronchoalveolar lavage | 89.1% | $2,005 | $503 | $203 |
CXR: Chest x-ray; DQ: Diff-Quick; GMS: Grocott's Methenamine Silver Stain; TBO: Toluidine Blue O; CW: Calcofluor white stain; IFA: Immunofluorescence; PCR: Polymerase chain reaction; nPCR: nested PCR; rtPCR: real-time (quantitative) PCR.