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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Public Econ. 2011 Oct 1;95(9-10):1168–1177. doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2011.05.005

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Relationship between Normalized Priority Score, Eventual Award, and Predicted Publication Rates

Notes: Data is smoothed using a lowess estimator with a bandwidth of .03. Predicted publication rates are calculated by regressing five year publication rates on researcher demographics and prior productivity measures.