Table 1.
Alternative statistical models evaluated to determine the baseline population dynamics the Anopheles gambiae s.l. Model comparison was made using ΔAICc and wAICc.
| model | d.f. | log likelihood | ΔAICc | wAICc |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| random walk | 3 | −16.36 | 9.9297 | 0.0068 |
| exponential | 3 | −16.36 | 9.9297 | 0.0068 |
| Ricker-logistic | 4 | −16.50 | 13.8438 | 0.0009 |
| Gompertz-logistic | 4 | −16.13 | 13.1069 | 0.0013 |
| random walk + rainfall | 4 | −18.68 | 18.2227 | 0.0001 |
| exponential + rainfall | 4 | −18.68 | 18.2227 | 0.0001 |
| Ricker-logistic + rainfall | 5 | −17.45 | 20.1251 | <0.0001 |
| Gompertz-logistic + rainfall | 5 | −16.04 | 17.2941 | 0.0001 |
| rainfall-modified Ricker-logistic | 4 | −9.57 | 0.0000 | 0.9754 |
| rainfall-modified Gompertz-logistic | 4 | −14.36 | 9.5801 | 0.0081 |