Table 3.

Coefficients for OLS Regression Models of the Logged Smoking and Non-Smoking Mortality Ratios, by Age, High Income Nations 1975–2000 (N = 105, 21 nations, 5 years)

Coefficients	Ages 0–34		Ages 35–69		Ages 70+		All Ages
	Fixed Effects		Fixed Effects		Fixed Effects		Fixed Effects
	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes
Smoking Prevalence Lagged on the Logged Smoking Mortality Ratio
b	--	--	1.693**	1.882**	1.752**	2.380**	.849**	.984**
se	--	--	.152	.244	.253	.434	.083	.133
beta	--	--	.740	.823	.564	.765	.711	.823
R2	--	--	.548	.875	.318	.786	.505	.864
Δa	--	--	−.336	−.373	−.307	−.416	−.330	−.382
Year on the Logged Non-Smoking Mortality Ratio
b	.065**	.065**	.050**	.050**	−.010	−.010*	.052**	.052**
se	.014	.012	.012	.005	.008	.005	.009	.006
beta	.420	.420	.379	.379	−.113	−.113	.488	.488
R2	.176	.500	.144	.866	.013	.762	.238	.756
Alternate Predicted Proportional Change in Logged Non-Smoking Mortality Ratio
Δb	.176	.176	.221	.221	−.171	−.171	.185	.185
Δc	.088	.088	.111	.111	−.086	−.086	.092	.092
Δd	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000	.000
Δe	−.088	−.088	−.111	−.111	.086	.086	−.092	−.092

^*p < .05

^**p < .01

^ΔPredicted proportional change from 2000 to 2020

^aBased on smoking prevalence;

^bbased on assumed linear rate of increase (or decrease at ages 70+);

^cbased on assumed falling rate of increase (or decrease at ages 70+);

^dbased on assumed no change;

^ebased on assumed falling rate of decrease (or increase at ages 70+)