Table 1.
Random effects covariance matrix parameters for four different models
| [Timei j] Est. (95% CI) |
[Timei j, Time18i j]a Est. (95% CI) |
[Timei j, Time18i]b Est. (95% CI) |
[Timei j, Time18i]c Est. (95% CI) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Generalized autoregressive parameters | ||||
| η11 Intercept | −0.27 (−1.02,0.18) | −1.24 (−2.08, −0.38) | −1.01 (−1.81, −0.20) | −1.17 (−1.74, −0.58) |
| η11 CYC | −0.71 (−1.65,0.08) | −0.67 (−1.82, 0.93) | −0.26 (−1.45, 0.92) | |
| η12 Intercept | 0.23 (0.03, 0.71) | −0.27 (−1.23, 0.29) | −0.51 (−1.23, −0.01) | |
| η12 CYC | 0.44 (−1.47, 2.00) | −1.48 (−2.64, 0.15) | ||
| η13 Intercept | 0.36 (0.10, 0.96) | 0.34 (0.08, 0.85) | ||
| η13 CYC | −0.65 (−1.49, 0.13) | |||
| Innovation variances | ||||
| η21 Intercept | −1.49 (−1.87, −1.09) | −1.29 (−1.67, −0.90) | −1.32 (−1.69, −0.91) | −1.31 (−1.59, −1.03) |
| η21 CYC | −0.06 (−0.63,0.49) | 0.01 (−0.58, 0.59) | −0.01 (−0.59, 0.57) | |
| η22 Intercept | −4.72 (−7.21, −2.19) | 0.0.23 (−0.53, 0.84) | 0.24 (−0.48, 0.84) | −0.10 (−0.68, 0.38) |
| η22 CYC | −0.66 (−3.73, 0.45) | −0.68 (−1.95, 0.37) | ||
| η23 Intercept | −5.11 (−7.55, −2.08) | −4.58 (−7.38, −1.79) | −4.62 (−7.26, −1.60) | |
| Model fit | ||||
| DIC | 5661.09 | 5565.38 | 5549.32 | 5540.80 |
| pD | 151.77 | 212.84 | 218.26 | 212.98 |
a
Structured heterogeneous two-random-slope model;
b
Unstructured heterogeneous two-random-slope model;
c
Unstructured homogeneous two-random-slope model