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. 2009 Nov 2;2:e11. doi: 10.3134/ehtj.09.011

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© 2009 P Bajardi et al.; licensee Emerging Health Threats Journal

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Effect of vaccination and of combined strategies for the early peak case. The incidence curves show the impact of an incremental vaccination with 1% daily distribution policy starting on 15 October for the early peak case. The baseline case is compared with the cases in which intervention strategies are considered, vaccination only, and combination of vaccination with antiviral treatment of 5, 10 and 30% of clinical cases. Efficacies of antiviral treatment and vaccination assume the values reported in the main text. Median profiles obtained from 2000 stochastic realizations of the model are shown. A 60% vaccine coverage is assumed, with the gray bar indicating the time period during which the immunization takes effect.