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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Regul Toxicol Pharmacol. 2011 Jul 1;61(1):98–104. doi: 10.1016/j.yrtph.2011.06.006

Table 6.

Probability that Strategy 1 will result in a negative classification for p=20%

Strategy 1 Test Result Probability
Test 1 Test 2 Test 3
0/6 - - 0.262
1/6 - - 0.393
2/6 0/6 - (.246)(.262) = .0645
3/6 0/6 - (.082)(.262) = .0215
2/6 1/6 0/6 (.246)(.393)(.262) = .0253
3/6 1/6 0/6 (.082)(.393)(.262) = .0084
2/6 2/6 0/6 (.246)(.246)(.262) = .0159
3/6 2/6 0/6 (.082)(.246)(.262) = .0053
Total - - 0.796