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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2011 Sep 9.
Published in final edited form as: Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2008 Jan 29;27(8):697–712. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2036.2008.03632.x

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Markov states in the natural history model. Persons cycle between states every year from age 50 to 100. Screening strategies were superimposed on the natural history model.