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. 2011 Jul 19;105(3):460–465. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2011.250

Table 2. Estimates of risk of developing cancer, by site, by sex; Scotland, 2001–2005.

  ‘Gold standard’ – ‘current probability’ AMP method ‘Current probability’ Cumulative risk Cumulative risk
  Lifetime Lifetime Lifetime 0–74 years 0–84 years
  First primaries only (%) 5-year data (%)a (%) (%) (%)
All malignant neoplasms (M) 40.0 39.2 44.4 30.5 50.3
All malignant neoplasms (F) 38.3 37.6 42.9 26.6 40.0
Breast cancer 10.8 11.1 11.6 9.2 12.5
Colorectal (M) 6.1 6.3 6.4 4.9 9.8
Colorectal (F) 5.0 5.1 5.1 3.0 6.0
Prostate 8.7 8.4 8.7 6.7 13.3
Lung (M) 8.7 8.8 8.8 6.9 13.4
Lung (F) 6.5 6.5 6.5 4.5 8.1

Abbreviations: AMP=adjusted for multiple primaries; F=female; M=male.

a

Calculated using a last age band of 85+.