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. 2011 Sep 22;6(9):e25286. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0025286

Table 2. Population dynamics estimates of the subtype B epidemic among MSM in Hong Kong.

Evolution clock model Growth model Rate of evolution(µ, site−1 year−1) Date of origin (tMRCA)
B (MSM-HK) B (Cluster 1) B (Cluster 2) B (Cluster 3)
Constant 2.01×10−3 1979 (1969–1987) 2000 (1997–2002) 1985 (1977–1992) 2000 (1997–2003)
Strict Exponential 1.82×10−3 1975 (1964–1986) 1998 (1995–2001) 1983 (1974–1991) 1999 (1995–2002)
Logistic 1.63×10−3 1977 (1965–1987) 1997 (1993–2001) 1981 (1970–1990) 1998 (1993–2002)
Skyline 1.94×10−3 1982 (1975–1989) 2000 (1997–2002) 1985 (1979–1991) 2000 (1997–2003)
Constant 2.50×10−3 1945 (1875–1988) 1998 (1991–2003) 1989 (1973–2000) 2000 (1993–2005)
Relaxed Exponential Exponential 2.39×10−3 1977 (1960–1990) 1994 (1985–2001) 1989 (1978–1998) 1999 (1993–2004)
Logistic 2.28×10−3 1984 (1974–1993) 1995 (1988–2001) 1989 (1980–1997) 1998 (1992–2003)
Skyline 2.53×10−3 1987 (1978–1994) 1996 (1990–2002) 1991 (1985–1996) 1999 (1994–2004)