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. 2011 Aug 23;108(38):15908–15913. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1014503108

Table 1.

Parameter estimates and AIC scores for four model fits to the complete dataset and subsets

All datasets: microevolutionary, fossil, and phylogenetic
Model Parameter estimates
Inverse of rate parameters AIC
Bounded evolution Inline graphic −2940.53
Brownian motion Inline graphic Inline graphic −7877.97
Single-burst Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic −9018.03
Multiple-burst Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic −9142.54
Multiple-burst model fit to subsets of the data
Dataset Parameter estimates
Microevolutionary and fossil Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic
Phylogenetic Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic

In all models, SDs are in units of the natural log size difference. The inverse of the rate parameters (1/λ) for the exponential distribution and Poisson distribution in the single-burst and multiple-burst models, respectively, can be interpreted as the average number of years until a displacement. The lowest AIC score was for the multiple-burst model.