Table 4.
Fixed effects | Model 1e | Model 2e | Model 3e | Model 4e | Model 5e |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Transformed FASa | 1.12 (0.07) | 1.13 (0.07) | 1.13 (0.07) | 0.01 (0.38) | 3.40 (1.09) |
Square of Transformed FASa | −0.85 (0.16) | −0.85 (0.17) | −0.85 (0.17) | −0.84 (0.17) | −0.85 (0.17) |
Gini coefficientb | −0.28 (0.12) | −0.08 (0.13) | −0.15 (0.14) | ||
GDP (PPP US$)c | 0.30 (0.06) | 0.36 (0.12) | 0.32 (0.11) | ||
Transformed FAS*Ginib interaction | 0.35 (0.12) | ||||
Transformed FAS*GDP (PPP US$)c interaction | −0.23 (0.11) | ||||
Random effects parameters | |||||
Level 1 (child) varianced | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Level 2 (school) variance | 0.120 (0.015) | 0.121 (0.014) | 0.120 (0.015) | 0.121 (0.015) | 0.120 (0.015) |
Level 3 (stratum) variance | 0.005 (0.004) | 0.004 (0.004) | 0.004 (0.004) | 0.005 (0.004) | 0.004 (0.004) |
Level 4 (country) | |||||
Variance (intercept) | 0.165 (0.043) | 0.157 (0.044) | 0.125 (0.034) | 0.131 (0.037) | 0.129 (0.037) |
Variance (slope) | 0.098 (0.040) | 0.099 (0.041) | 0.097 (0.040) | 0.065 (0.031) | 0.087 (0.037) |
Covariance (int,slope) | −0.016 (0.030) | 0.016 (0.033) | 0.010 (0.027) | 0.029 (0.026) | 0.029 (0.030) |
46,198.7 | 46,195.5 | 46,201.7 | 46,196.4 | 46,198.8 | |
695.9 | 700.2 | 695.3 | 694.7 | 697.6 | |
DIC | 46,894.6 | 46,895.7 | 46,897.0 | 46,891.1 | 46,896.4 |
Via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC); estimates are based on a chain of length of 150,000 following a burn-in of 50,000 for models 1–3 and a chain length of 300,000 following a burn-in of 200,000 for models 4 and 5
a FAS standardised using ridit transformation and centred
b Gini coefficient has been multiplied by 10 to make effect sizes equivalent to those of logged GDP (PPP US$)
c Log of GDP (PPP US$)
d Variance at the child level is constrained to 1
e Adjusting for sex, age and family structure
f is the expectation of the deviance and is a measure of how well the model fits the data, is the effective number of parameters and DIC is the Deviance Information Criterion; the larger this is, the worse the model fit