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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer. 2011 Jun 30;118(3):603–611. doi: 10.1002/cncr.26293

Table 2.

One-way sensitivity analyses for addition of radiation therapy in women age 60

Invasive disease-free survival Overall survival Percentage with both breasts during lifetime
Baseline Δ 11.7 months 2.1 months -8.6%
Variable Baseline Range Studied Δ of Range (months) Δ of Range (months) Δ of Range (%)
Local recurrence at 10-years 0.2495 0.15 - 0.35 7.0 - 16.7 1.3 – 3.0 -7.6 to -9.6
Reduction in local recurrence with RT 0.46 0.30 - 0.70 8.0 – 17.4 1.4 – 3.1 -11.6 to -4.1
Proportion of invasive LR 0.50 0.30 - 0.70 9.0 - 15.9 1.4 - 2.9 -9.0 to -8.2
Proportion of invasive new cancer 0.69 0.30 - 0.80 11.2 - 11.9 2.1 - 2.2 -9.0 to -8.5
Contralateral-breast cancer/yr 0.008 0.004 - 0.010 12.1 – 11.6 2.1 – 2.2 -10.0 to -8.1
Proportion mastectomy at recurrence or new cancer if no prior RT 0.32* 0.20 – 0.48 11.7-11.5 2.1 – 2.1 -11.7 to -4.3

RT = radiation therapy

LR = local recurrence

Δ = difference with the addition of radiation therapy

*

= in baseline analysis, this variable is a function of the stage of recurrence or new diagnosis; on average it is 0.32