Table 5. Input parameters and assumptions for the three simulation models.
model 1 | model 2* | model 3 | |
input parameters | m, κL, ρL, κI, ρI | κ, ρ, κL, ρL, κI, ρI | κ [i], ρ [i], κL [i], ρL [i], κI [i], ρI [i] |
basic reproduction number | R0 [i] = m | R0 [i] ∼ Gamma(κ, ρ) | R0 [i] ∼ Gamma(κ [i], ρ [i]) |
latent period | LP [i] ∼ Gamma(κL, ρL) | LP [i] ∼ Gamma(κL, ρL) | LP [i] ∼ Gamma(κL [i], ρL [i]) |
infectious period | IP [i] ∼ Gamma(κI, ρI) | IP [i] ∼ Gamma(κI, ρI) | IP [i] ∼ Gamma(κI [i], ρI [i]) |
*baseline model.
m, mean R0; κL and ρL, parameters describing the gamma distribution of the latent period; κI and ρI, parameters describing the gamma distribution of the infectious period; κ, shape parameter of the gamma distribution of R0; ρ, rate parameter of the gamma distribution of R0; i = 1 to 1,000 (i.e., number of simulated outbreaks).