Table 2.
Success measure | Change between seasons | Model | Underlying relationships and data | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Predictors for season “t” | Estimate | SE | t | p | r | Previous-year success | Mean distance (m) | SD (n) | F | ||
Mating success (all males) | 1st vs 2nd | TWV | −0.86 | 0.233 | −3.69 | 0.0003 | −0.20* | (132) | |||
Success | −0.25 | 0.125 | −1.97 | 0.051 | 0 | 310 | 365.4 (29) | 7.98** | |||
1 | 150 | 236.0 (103) | |||||||||
Δ arrival date | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.72 | 0.473 | |||||||
2nd vs 3rd | TWV | −0.08 | 0.381 | −0.21 | 0.832 | −0.19 | (39) | ||||
Success | −0.13 | 0.179 | −0.72 | 0.479 | 0 | 147 | 132.9 (11) | 0.51 | |||
1 | 118 | 120.0 (28) | |||||||||
Δ arrival date | −0.005 | 0.007 | −0.73 | 0.471 | |||||||
3rd vs 4th | TWV | −0.73 | 0.528 | −1.38 | 0.198 | −0.31 | (14) | ||||
Success | −0.60 | 0.315 | −1.91 | 0.086 | 0 | 241 | 152.8 (3) | 0.15 | |||
1 | 165 | 320.5 (11) | |||||||||
Δ arrival date | −0.004 | 0.012 | −0.35 | 0.732 | |||||||
Nesting success (mated males only) | 1st vs 2nd | TWV | −0.83 | 0.277 | −3.00 | 0.003 | −0.09 | (103) | |||
Success | −0.16 | 0.121 | −1.32 | 0.189 | 0 | 215 | 328.8 (36) | 4.40* | |||
1 | 115 | 158.5 (67) | |||||||||
Δ arrival date | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.73 | 0.466 | |||||||
2nd vs 3rd | TWV | 0.137 | 0.536 | 0.26 | 0.800 | 0.01 | (29) | ||||
Success | −0.001 | 0.222 | −0.01 | 0.995 | 0 | 111 | 101.3 (10) | 0.04 | |||
1 | 120 | 128.3 (19) | |||||||||
Δ arrival date | −0.001 | 0.010 | −0.17 | 0.965 | |||||||
3rd vs 4th | TWV | −0.658 | 0.632 | −1.04 | 0.332 | −0.38 | (11) | ||||
Success | 0.012 | 0.356 | 0.03 | 0.974 | 0 | 79 | 32.8 (6) | 0.95 | |||
1 | 268 | 480.5 (5) | |||||||||
Δ arrival date | 0.002 | 0.021 | 0.11 | 0.912 |
Distance and territory quality were transformed (log10 and square root, respectively) in order to approximate a normal distribution. The second section of the table (underlying relationships and data) presents the basic relationships that underlie the model: correlation coefficients (r) of territory quality in the preceding year and the distance a sedge warbler male shifts territory between seasons, as well as the distance differences between males without (0) or with (1) mating or nesting success
TWV tall wetland vegetation, sum of cattail and reed area in a male's territory
*−0.01 < p < 0.05, **−p = 0.005