Table 1. Transmission model parameter values.
Variable | Age group | Value (range) | Source |
Total population size | All | 31,612,905 | [44] |
Life expectancy (years) | All | 75.3 | [45] |
Latent period (days) | All | 2.5 | [46] |
Duration of infectiousness (days) | All | 3.5 | [46] |
Basic reproductive number | All | 1.6 (1.4–1.9) | Model calibration |
Duration of immunity (years) | Model calibration and assumption | ||
Following infection | All | 1.3 (1–2) | |
Following vaccination | All | 1 (1–2) | |
Proportion vaccinated | <1 | 0.12 | [17], [47] |
1–5 | 0.28 | ||
6–19 | 0.30 | ||
20–64 | 0.33 | ||
≥65 | 0.75 | ||
Vaccine efficacy | [9], [10], [19], [20], [21] and model calibration | ||
Trivalent influenza vaccine (TIV) | <6 | 0.5 (0–0.83) | |
6–64 | 0.9 (0.7–0.9) | ||
≥65 | 0.2 (0–0.2) | ||
Adjuvanted influenza vaccine (ATIV) | <6 | 0.9 (0–0.9) | |
≥65 | 0.4 (0.2–0.4) | ||