Table 1. Area (ha) of current and potential future tidal marsh habitat, and upland areas reclaimed, under different sea-level rise and sediment availability assumptions for San Francisco Bay.
Year | Scenario | Current Land Status | Low Marsh | Mid Marsh | High Marsh | Total Marsh | Uplands Reclaimed |
2010 | Current | Tidal | 2,992 | 7,572 | 2,464 | 13,029 | - |
2110 | SSC High/SLR Low | Tidal | 1,013 | 18,714 | 528 | 20,256 | 2,046 |
2110 | SSC High/SLR High | Tidal | 4,752 | 8,274 | 109 | 13,135 | 3,307 |
2110 | SSC Low/SLR Low | Tidal | 3,510 | 12,744 | 528 | 16,782 | 2,046 |
2110 | SSC Low/SLR High | Tidal | 4,422 | 574 | 109 | 5,104 | 3,307 |
2010 | Current | Diked | 3,041 | 3,360 | 1,109 | 7,510 | - |
2110 | SSC High/SLR Low | Diked | 5759 | 12,971 | 888 | 19,399 | 6,958 |
2110 | SSC High/SLR High | Diked | 6438 | 25,173 | 670 | 32,499 | 2,301 |
2110 | SSC Low/SLR Low | Diked | 2767 | 2,608 | 888 | 6,045 | 6,958 |
2110 | SSC Low/SLR High | Diked | 6240 | 10,485 | 670 | 17,613 | 2,301 |
2010 | Current | Urban | 1,273 | 1,888 | 1,096 | 4,257 | - |
2110 | SSC High/SLR Low | Urban | 3,472 | 10,673 | 1,251 | 15,895 | 13,223 |
2110 | SSC High/SLR High | Urban | 518 | 7,511 | 1,749 | 9,280 | 2,941 |
2110 | SSC Low/SLR Low | Urban | 3,883 | 5,692 | 1,251 | 11,325 | 13,223 |
2110 | SSC Low/SLR High | Urban | 1,396 | 4,353 | 1,749 | 6,999 | 2,941 |
To demonstrate restoration potential, the potential future marsh area for currently diked lands reflects the assumption that all barriers to inundation are removed in 2010. Suspended sediment availability (SSC) high and low assumptions vary by Bay subregion. Sea-level rise (SLR) assumptions were developed by the National Research Council (low = 0.52 m/century; high = 1.65 m/century). Values for the urban category represent areas that are considered un-restorable due to urban development.