Table 2. Posterior mean, median and 95% credible limits (CL) for parameters in the temperature-dependent model of the extrinsic incubation period for different orbiviruses and vector species.
orbivirus | vector species | probability of infection (ϕ) | virus replication rate (α) | ||||||
mean | median | 95% CL | mean | median | 95% CL | ||||
lower | upper | lower | upper | ||||||
AHSV-4 | C. sonorensis | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.59 | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.014 | 0.020 |
BTV-1 | C. bolitinos | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.018 | 0.020 |
BTV-1 | C. imicola | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.010 | 0.023 |
BTV-9 | C. sonorensis | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.013 | 0.026 |
BTV-10 | C. sonorensis | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.018 | 0.018 | 0.010 | 0.029 |
BTV-16 | C. sonorensis | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.021 | 0.020 | 0.016 | 0.028 |
EHDV-1 | C. sonorensis | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.88 | 0.96 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.068 | 0.105 |