Table 1. Model parameters, probability distributions and data sources used in the prediction of human deaths from rabies in Phuentsholing and Gelephu areas of south Bhutan from dog bite survey data.

Parameter	Description	Probability and distribution	Data source
P1	Probability of a suspected rabid dog being confirmed rabid on laboratory diagnosis (33/46)	Binomial: p = 0.720; n = 46	Field data, [49]
P2	Bite injury to the head or neck	Point estimate: (11/193) = 0.057	Field data
P3	Bite injury to the hand or arm	Point estimate: (41/193) = 0.212	Field data
P4	Bite injury to the trunk	Point estimate: (3/193) = 0.016	Field data
P5	Bite injury to the leg or foot	Point estimate: (137/193) = 0.715	Field data
P6	Probability of developing rabies following a bite injury to the head by a rabid dog	Triangular: minimum = 0.30, mode = 0.45, maximum = 0.60	[11],
P7	Probability of developing rabies following a bite injury to the hand or arm by a rabid dog	Triangular: minimum = 0.15, mode = 0.28, maximum = 0.40	[11], [15], [35]
P8	Probability of developing rabies following a bite injury to the trunk by a rabid dog	Triangular: minimum = 0.00, mode = 0.05, maximum = 0.10	[11], [15], [35]
P9	Probability of developing rabies following a bite injury to the leg or foot by a rabid dog	Triangular: minimum = 0.00, mode = 0.05, maximum = 0.10	[11], [15], [35]
P10	Probability of an individual receiving post exposure treatment if bitten by a suspected rabid dog (see methods)	Triangular: minimum = 0.80, mode = 0.90, maximum = 0.95	[36]